NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	5.5 [283]		MVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): +27.2%
Miami Heat	122		Comeback	1.6 [204]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -11.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	-0.00	7	87%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	7	94%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ty Jerome	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Darius Garland	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	19	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Travers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.05	6	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	16	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.22	0.04	-0.02	19	72%	0.32	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.02	0.00	11	85%	0.25	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	14	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.02	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.01	0.05	14	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.03	0.08	9	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	29.7	14.8	31.3	2.4	27.5	131.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +22.5%

MIA +4.6%

MIA +23.9%

CLE -1.1%

MIA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.5	14.3	116.5	122.0	112.0
season	13.7	14.8		121.5	112.5
opponent	14.6	14.8		110.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.3	12.7	12.8	14.2	13.7
MIA	14.7	14.5	14.8	18.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	62	66	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.31	11	-20	31	13.3	14.5	-1.18	16.0	14.5	1.57
Luke Travers	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	10.5	13.8	-3.27	18.3	15.4	2.91
Jaylon Tyson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	10.5	13.8	-3.27	18.3	15.4	2.91
JT Thor	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	10.5	13.8	-3.27	18.3	15.4	2.91
Caris LeVert	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	13.9	13.4	0.51	16.5	14.1	2.40
Evan Mobley	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	2	-13	13.6	13.7	-0.19	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Jarrett Allen	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	2	-13	14.6	12.4	2.13	16.2	14.6	1.55
Dean Wade	63	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	14.4	12.4	1.94	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Sam Merrill	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	12.8	14.4	-1.64	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Ty Jerome	44	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	12.5	14.7	-2.16	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Darius Garland	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	2	-13	14.2	12.7	1.47	15.9	14.8	1.13
Donovan Mitchell	63	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	7	-23	13.8	13.6	0.17	15.0	16.6	-1.63

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bam Adebayo	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-11	31	15.7	15.0	0.69	13.9	13.0	0.86
Terry Rozier	58	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-1	11	15.9	15.0	0.96	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Jimmy Butler	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-1	11	15.9	14.6	1.25	13.9	13.1	0.80
Duncan Robinson	61	60	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-2	13	14.8	16.6	-1.81	13.7	13.7	0.04
Tyler Herro	71	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	4	1	16.0	14.4	1.54	14.4	12.0	2.44
Haywood Highsmith	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	0	9	14.5	16.6	-2.12	14.1	13.3	0.74
Dru Smith	54	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	11	-13	15.9	15.1	0.74	13.0	14.5	-1.56
Thomas Bryant	16	14	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	9	-9	14.6	15.7	-1.05	12.5	13.9	-1.40
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	34	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	16	-23	15.4	15.6	-0.15	13.0	14.0	-1.03
Kevin Love	10	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	20	-31	15.6	15.5	0.10	13.9	13.7	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
POR 89, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1	94.2%
WAS 96, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.2%