NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	118		Excitement	7.9 [106]		MVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): +60.9%
Brooklyn Nets	113		Comeback	8.1 [111]		LVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): -20.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.61	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.61,0.61,0.61	0.22	0.39	0.00	10	115%	0.66	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.16	0.12	0.00	10	80%	0.30	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.14	0.12	0.06	0.04	22	63%	0.22	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03
AJ Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andre Jackson Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	7	60%	0.01	7	-0.21	11	82%	0.04

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.30	0.05	0.03	19	79%	0.32	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.11	0.01	16	72%	0.38	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.01	14	68%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	27.4	14.8	30.3	2.4	32.3	138.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.4%

MIL +1.7%

MIL +5.3%

BKN -0.6%

MIL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	14.3	128.3	122.8	111.9
season	14.7	15.4		112.1	112.0
opponent	14.2	14.2		116.5	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	17.0	15.8	12.5	14.8
BKN	17.3	15.0	16.9	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	40	39	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.56	16	-11	27	13.0	16.2	-3.22	16.5	16.5	-0.09
Bobby Portis	60	60	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-7	19	14.4	15.6	-1.23	16.6	16.4	0.21
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	73	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-5	15	14.1	17.6	-3.50	16.4	16.9	-0.48
Andre Jackson Jr.	43	44	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.49	3	2	1	13.6	15.9	-2.32	16.0	17.0	-1.02
Damian Lillard	76	75	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.41	-11	16	-27	15.3	12.4	2.93	16.0	18.8	-2.76
AJ Green	39	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.12	6	-1	7	15.5	14.3	1.25	17.0	16.1	0.95
Gary Trent Jr.	44	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.19	6	-1	7	15.2	14.4	0.87	17.2	15.8	1.44
Taurean Prince	34	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	10	-15	15.9	14.1	1.82	16.4	16.6	-0.16
Brook Lopez	50	50	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.15	-12	17	-29	16.3	13.0	3.34	16.8	16.1	0.68

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Johnson	42	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-6	7	15.5	17.4	-1.95	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Cameron Johnson	75	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-14	23	16.1	18.1	-1.97	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Dennis Schroder	65	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-11	17	16.6	16.3	0.25	14.9	14.6	0.27
Shake Milton	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	4	-13	17.9	15.9	1.97	15.7	14.4	1.31
Nic Claxton	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-8	11	16.7	16.0	0.70	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Ben Simmons	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	0	-5	16.4	16.6	-0.25	15.3	14.5	0.75
Trendon Watford	24	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	7	-19	17.8	16.1	1.73	15.5	14.5	0.96
Day'Ron Sharpe	20	22	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	6	-17	15.4	16.8	-1.36	15.5	14.6	0.87
Dorian Finney-Smith	60	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-7	9	15.8	17.8	-2.04	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Jalen Wilson	48	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	17.6	15.3	2.29	15.0	14.6	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.71,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.08,0	92.4%
ORL 90, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.45,0.27,0	91.0%
TOR 108, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.09,0	90.6%