NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	5.3 [762]		MVP	Grayson Allen (PHX): +19.6%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	1.3 [787]		LVP	Jonathan Kuminga (GSW): -10.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	7	65%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	21	49%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.11	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	17	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.06	12	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.06	-0.03	8	77%	0.21	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.08
Tyus Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	9	95%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	20	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	0.03	20	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	23.4	15.0	27.2	6.5	30.8	131.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.4%

PHX +1.3%

GSW -1.6%

GSW -0.3%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	15.9	14.4	105.0	115.3	113.0
season	14.5	15.0		112.9	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.5		117.4	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.1	12.0	12.5	12.6	13.3
PHX	13.9	16.8	16.3	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	73	70	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-20	32	12.3	15.9	-3.55	16.3	14.6	1.70
Brandin Podziemski	69	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-15	22	12.6	14.8	-2.29	16.5	14.3	2.20
Kyle Anderson	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-5	2	10.9	13.7	-2.84	15.9	15.9	0.02
Moses Moody	5	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	17.6	13.0	4.57	12.5	16.1	-3.58
Trayce Jackson-Davis	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	14.7	12.7	2.06	16.8	15.5	1.33
Draymond Green	63	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-14	20	12.7	14.3	-1.60	16.3	15.1	1.24
Kevon Looney	36	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-7	6	13.4	13.2	0.16	13.9	17.0	-3.07
Stephen Curry	66	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-12	16	12.9	13.9	-1.03	16.2	15.1	1.18
Gary Payton II	24	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	4	-16	15.8	12.5	3.33	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Lindy Waters III	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	0	-8	12.1	13.7	-1.61	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Pat Spencer	19	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	2	-12	14.9	12.9	2.08	13.4	16.4	-3.03
Jonathan Kuminga	35	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	4	-16	14.7	12.5	2.24	16.9	15.2	1.67
Buddy Hield	35	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	7	-22	14.4	12.6	1.75	14.8	16.4	-1.55

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oso Ighodaro	59	60	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-6	20	16.2	15.3	0.87	13.8	12.4	1.39
Royce O'Neale	40	37	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-7	22	15.6	16.0	-0.43	12.9	13.4	-0.50
Devin Booker	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	15.8	16.2	-0.43	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Ryan Dunn	38	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	0	8	16.6	15.4	1.26	15.3	11.9	3.44
Kevin Durant	75	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	4	0	15.3	17.7	-2.40	12.9	14.5	-1.59
Tyus Jones	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	8	-8	16.4	14.7	1.64	12.7	14.3	-1.58
Monte Morris	30	33	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-1	10	15.0	16.2	-1.28	14.2	12.8	1.33
Grayson Allen	69	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	12	-16	16.0	15.6	0.34	12.4	15.7	-3.30
Mason Plumlee	35	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	15	-22	15.7	16.0	-0.27	13.2	13.3	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.8%
DET 89, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
IND 96, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%