NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	10.6 [16]		MVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): +53.2%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	4.4 [149]		LVP	Malik Beasley (DET): -25.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.02,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	26	54%	0.19	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Chris Boucher	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	9	53%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamison Battle	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.15,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	19	42%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Ochai Agbaji	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.53	0.53	0.13	0.42	0.01	13	78%	0.64	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.09
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.00	6	60%	0.25	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.01	6	71%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	150%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.06
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	16	39%	-0.18	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	5.5	28.5	15.2	26.5	1.7	40.3	144.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +74.2%

DET +7.2%

TOR -23.0%

TOR -6.6%

TOR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.3	107.5	107.4	111.8
season	13.8	14.3		109.9	110.7
opponent	14.6	14.6		113.4	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.4	14.7	16.7	17.1	15.5
DET	16.6	15.9	14.6	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	25	27	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.02	13	-15	28	15.6	15.4	0.16	17.5	14.2	3.25
Chris Boucher	39	41	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.03	11	-13	24	16.1	15.1	1.02	16.2	14.4	1.78
Jamal Shead	31	34	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.05	11	-13	24	15.4	15.5	-0.10	15.7	14.9	0.85
Jamison Battle	40	42	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.38	20	-22	42	16.1	15.0	1.04	16.1	14.4	1.72
Jonathan Mogbo	22	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-7	12	16.0	15.3	0.62	16.6	14.8	1.81
Jakob Poeltl	57	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	11	-24	15.4	15.7	-0.30	14.0	17.0	-2.97
Scottie Barnes	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.58	-2	0	-2	15.3	16.1	-0.80	15.2	15.1	0.04
Davion Mitchell	62	61	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.39	-13	11	-24	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.9	15.7	-0.85
RJ Barrett	70	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.32	-16	14	-30	14.9	17.3	-2.42	14.2	18.0	-3.86
Ochai Agbaji	48	47	-0.80	0.29	-1.09	-0.03	-26	24	-50	15.5	15.4	0.08	14.3	16.0	-1.66

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Ivey	72	72	1.11	-0.61	1.71	0.37	25	-23	48	13.8	19.5	-5.76	16.3	12.7	3.58
Tobias Harris	77	74	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-8	18	14.5	18.2	-3.71	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Malik Beasley	66	63	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-8	18	14.9	15.7	-0.72	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-10	22	15.2	15.0	0.22	15.7	15.0	0.67
Jalen Duren	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	-14	30	14.5	15.9	-1.42	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Ausar Thompson	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	11	-20	14.9	15.3	-0.38	15.6	15.4	0.24
Simone Fontecchio	15	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.38	-14	16	-30	18.6	14.5	4.09	13.6	15.9	-2.25
Ronald Holland II	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	17.6	14.5	3.10	15.6	15.4	0.21
Isaiah Stewart	46	42	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	0.32	-16	18	-34	15.9	14.5	1.42	15.9	15.2	0.72
Marcus Sasser	29	27	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.13	-22	24	-46	17.6	14.1	3.50	13.6	16.3	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, NYK 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.31,0.63,0.57,0.53,1	90.8%
ATL 83, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.58,1	90.5%
GSW 112, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.66,0.82,1	90.5%