NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	5.4 [747]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +19.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Comeback	1.1 [1238]		LVP	Georges Niang (CLE): -13.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Shead	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	5	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Boucher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gradey Dick	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	17	49%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	12	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	18	38%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.07
Davion Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	0.02	6	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	14	45%	-0.07	1	-0.01	12	58%	-0.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.05	-0.03	18	70%	0.24	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.02	14	81%	0.25	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	14	57%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	4	111%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luke Travers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.19	-0.02	-0.07	13	8%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.5	14.7	32.1	2.5	29.6	136.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.8%

CLE +2.3%

TOR -2.5%

TOR -0.5%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	13.3	14.8	14.4	104.9	119.6	113.0
season	13.9	13.7		109.0	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.6		110.8	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.2	10.8	11.8	14.3	13.3
CLE	13.5	14.5	14.4	17.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Shead	37	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-19	24	12.7	13.6	-0.89	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Bruno Fernando	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	16.5	13.2	3.29	16.0	14.8	1.18
Garrett Temple	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	16.5	13.2	3.29	16.0	14.8	1.18
Chris Boucher	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-18	22	14.5	12.8	1.78	13.6	15.3	-1.75
Jonathan Mogbo	45	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-15	16	13.2	13.3	-0.05	14.1	15.4	-1.27
Jamison Battle	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-11	8	16.9	12.9	3.96	11.6	15.1	-3.48
Ochai Agbaji	54	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	13.4	13.1	0.28	16.3	13.1	3.18
Davion Mitchell	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	12.9	13.6	-0.70	15.0	14.7	0.31
Scottie Barnes	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	12.7	14.9	-2.24	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Gradey Dick	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	3	-20	13.3	13.1	0.21	14.9	14.7	0.16
Jakob Poeltl	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	0	-14	13.2	13.4	-0.21	15.5	13.4	2.17
RJ Barrett	73	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	13.2	13.5	-0.27	14.4	15.9	-1.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-1	16	15.7	13.3	2.41	12.9	14.0	-1.11
Jarrett Allen	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	3	8	15.9	12.9	3.01	13.5	12.8	0.76
Ty Jerome	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	2	10	14.4	15.4	-0.97	13.6	12.8	0.83
Evan Mobley	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	2	10	14.1	16.8	-2.74	12.4	15.7	-3.35
Donovan Mitchell	77	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	4	6	14.3	16.5	-2.23	12.7	15.1	-2.36
Isaac Okoro	59	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	2	10	15.6	13.8	1.76	13.9	12.4	1.51
Sam Merrill	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	11	-8	14.1	15.3	-1.20	13.7	13.0	0.67
Georges Niang	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	11	-8	14.1	15.3	-1.18	15.1	12.1	2.99
Luke Travers	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	0.0	14.8	-14.83	28.0	13.1	14.87
Craig Porter Jr.	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	19	-24	15.1	14.8	0.28	11.8	13.5	-1.72
Jaylon Tyson	14	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	19	-24	15.4	14.7	0.61	11.6	13.6	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DEN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,1	94.5%
OKC 98, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.4%