NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	5.8 [633]		MVP	Keegan Murray (SAC): +20.8%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.0 [663]		LVP	Chet Holmgren (OKC): -13.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	25	59%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cason Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.09	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Ousmane Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Williams	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	14	47%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chet Holmgren	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	44%	-0.06	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.11	-0.02	17	62%	0.26	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.04	19	70%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Vezenkov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	1	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kessler Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.04	5	-0.10	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	27.7	14.7	30.9	1.6	39.7	142.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +31.3%

OKC -1.1%

SAC +24.6%

OKC -5.2%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	14.5	99.0	105.0	113.9
season	13.9	14.0		117.1	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.7		113.6	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.5	13.4	12.7	13.5	13.8
SAC	13.3	14.3	16.6	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Joe	36	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.31	13	-20	33	14.7	13.3	1.40	17.0	14.0	3.06
Jaylin Williams	33	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-13	19	15.5	12.9	2.52	17.0	14.2	2.74
Ousmane Dieng	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	14.1	13.7	0.43	16.4	14.9	1.46
Cason Wallace	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-10	13	13.3	14.2	-0.80	16.1	14.3	1.79
Lindy Waters III	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.3	13.4	0.87	15.3	15.0	0.27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	75	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-4	1	13.8	13.7	0.15	15.5	13.9	1.62
Luguentz Dort	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	4	-15	13.9	13.6	0.37	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Jalen Williams	70	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	7	-21	13.4	14.8	-1.39	14.4	16.8	-2.48
Chet Holmgren	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	6	-19	12.9	15.5	-2.52	14.2	17.0	-2.74
Josh Giddey	62	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	12	-31	13.4	14.4	-0.92	14.2	16.6	-2.40

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	78	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	14.7	16.7	-1.95	14.0	12.8	1.16
Kevin Huerter	70	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-1	9	15.2	15.0	0.23	13.9	13.6	0.30
Malik Monk	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	0	7	15.8	14.3	1.47	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Keegan Murray	85	82	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	10	-13	15.4	14.0	1.36	13.3	16.2	-2.97
Davion Mitchell	37	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	8	-9	15.6	14.9	0.65	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Sasha Vezenkov	19	19	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	2	3	13.6	15.5	-1.95	13.8	13.8	0.08
Harrison Barnes	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	0	7	14.2	16.2	-1.95	14.4	13.1	1.26
Keon Ellis	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	1	5	15.4	14.8	0.55	14.3	12.8	1.47
Alex Len	21	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	8	-9	15.4	15.1	0.34	12.8	14.0	-1.16
Chris Duarte	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	15.0	15.2	-0.18	13.9	13.8	0.14
Kessler Edwards	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	10	-13	19.6	14.9	4.67	13.2	13.8	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
NYK 85, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 92, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%