NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	7.8 [120]		MVP	Chris Paul (SAS): +21.9%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	12.8 [61]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -22.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	17	64%	0.19	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Collin Sexton	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	55%	0.16	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.02	0.03	13	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyonte George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.02	18	47%	0.09	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Cody Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.21	-0.07	-0.06	8	20%	-0.06	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	9	59%	0.23	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.01	0.05	13	78%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	52%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	69%	0.17	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	6	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.04
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	14	55%	0.14	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	24.9	15.4	38.0	1.7	31.5	141.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.7%

SAS +9.2%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +15.7%

UTA -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	12.8	14.3	110.3	117.8	111.7
season	15.0	14.4		109.5	111.0
opponent	14.3	13.6		112.1	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.2	16.2	12.6	14.8	14.1
SAS	15.6	12.6	10.9	12.4	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Juzang	35	34	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-22	36	13.5	14.4	-0.89	13.2	12.6	0.67
Kyle Filipowski	39	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-10	12	14.5	13.9	0.55	13.9	12.1	1.81
John Collins	69	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-13	18	14.9	12.7	2.22	13.6	11.3	2.26
Keyonte George	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-8	8	15.0	12.5	2.53	13.4	11.7	1.68
Isaiah Collier	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-11	14	13.3	14.9	-1.54	12.9	12.7	0.20
Collin Sexton	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	3	-14	14.9	13.3	1.54	12.7	12.9	-0.20
Cody Williams	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	0	-8	12.5	15.0	-2.53	11.7	13.4	-1.68
Drew Eubanks	52	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	13.8	14.4	-0.61	11.5	13.9	-2.43
Lauri Markkanen	76	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.13	-19	11	-30	13.3	16.2	-2.89	12.7	12.9	-0.12
Brice Sensabaugh	50	50	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.25	-19	11	-30	14.8	13.6	1.24	11.8	13.6	-1.79

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Bassey	62	62	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-8	24	12.2	13.6	-1.35	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Chris Paul	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-4	16	13.2	12.1	1.12	14.5	13.5	1.06
Harrison Barnes	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	13.2	11.5	1.68	14.6	12.8	1.77
Stephon Castle	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	4	0	13.1	12.1	0.98	15.0	12.3	2.70
Julian Champagnie	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-1	10	12.2	14.2	-1.93	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Keldon Johnson	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	10	-12	12.9	12.6	0.23	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Malaki Branham	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	3	2	11.0	13.2	-2.27	12.9	14.4	-1.53
Tre Jones	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	10	-12	12.1	13.2	-1.12	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Blake Wesley	10	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	14.4	12.6	1.79	11.5	14.4	-2.91
Zach Collins	45	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	13.6	12.2	1.35	14.6	13.8	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.92,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, NOK 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,1	93.3%
TOR 108, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1	91.9%
BOS 106, NOH 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.96,1	91.6%