NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	7.3 [370]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +25.9%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	13.9 [162]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (TOR): -19.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.18	0.01	-0.01	17	72%	0.21	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,0.02	0.10	-0.04	0.04	12	63%	0.04	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.11
David Andersen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	10	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.02	-0.10	-0.02	16	51%	0.05	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.17	0.00	10	67%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	10	64%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	16	59%	0.14	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.04
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	7	29%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	13	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.3	31.5	15.6	26.2	1.7	36.4	142.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.9%

SAC +23.9%

TOR -4.2%

SAC +10.3%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAC	NBA	TOR	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.5	116.1	119.4	105.7
season	15.1	14.9		104.7	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.7	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	11.8	18.8	16.8	15.3
SAC	17.7	16.5	11.7	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	44	42	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-10	17	16.1	14.6	1.52	16.6	14.9	1.71
Reggie Evans	66	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-12	21	15.9	14.0	1.93	15.4	16.2	-0.83
David Andersen	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	1	-5	13.9	16.0	-2.15	13.6	16.7	-3.11
Sonny Weems	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	7	-17	14.3	16.1	-1.81	13.6	17.1	-3.48
Leandro Barbosa	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	3	-9	13.3	16.1	-2.76	13.3	16.6	-3.29
DeMar DeRozan	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.55	9	-12	21	16.1	14.1	1.95	17.3	12.9	4.36
Linas Kleiza	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-4	5	16.1	13.7	2.34	15.9	15.1	0.82
Andrea Bargnani	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.8	14.2	1.64	16.6	13.2	3.40
Amir Johnson	20	20	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	8	-19	14.6	15.5	-0.93	17.9	15.0	2.95
Jose Calderon	50	51	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.47	-10	7	-17	14.5	16.3	-1.76	14.9	16.6	-1.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	73	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-9	21	15.6	15.8	-0.27	14.7	17.8	-3.14
Omri Casspi	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	2	-1	16.5	13.9	2.60	15.8	14.4	1.41
Carl Landry	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.57	-8	11	-19	16.5	14.0	2.49	16.1	14.0	2.10
Luther Head	46	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-10	23	14.6	16.7	-2.12	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Beno Udrih	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.56	-9	12	-21	16.3	14.6	1.71	16.1	14.2	1.86
DeMarcus Cousins	30	32	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	3	-3	17.3	14.9	2.41	17.5	14.2	3.35
Jason Thompson	38	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	-13	29	13.4	17.2	-3.79	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Samuel Dalembert	46	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	5	-7	14.1	17.1	-3.02	15.6	15.1	0.52
Darnell Jackson	21	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.12	4	-1	5	16.3	15.4	0.84	11.7	16.5	-4.78
Antoine Wright	5	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	9.4	16.0	-6.59	14.2	15.4	-1.25
Francisco Garcia	28	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	10	-17	16.2	15.4	0.88	15.1	15.4	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	92.2%
WAS 96, NOK 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,1	92.1%
BOS 106, NOH 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.96,1	91.9%