NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	8.8 [160]		MVP	David West (NOK): +104.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	97		Comeback	18.8 [74]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -18.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.94	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.94	0.05	0.88	-0.02	17	59%	0.97	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,-0.11	0.10	-0.21	0.01	30	59%	0.04	5	-0.15	13	92%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	10	22%	-0.12	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,1.05	1.05	0.03	1.02	0.00	14	58%	1.11	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	5	82%	0.19	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.05	0.00	12	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	12	19%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	2.6	29.3	14.6	26.0	1.8	27.8	132.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +29.3%

WAS -4.5%

NOK +17.7%

NOK +5.1%

NOK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOK	NBA	WAS	NOK	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	106.7	109.0	104.4
season	15.1	16.3		107.4	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.7	13.9	19.1	17.6	15.7
NOK	14.5	20.7	13.6	18.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	86	87	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.38	2	-3	5	15.6	16.2	-0.62	16.1	34.5	-18.39
Brendan Haywood	57	57	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.22	11	-12	23	14.8	17.1	-2.22	16.2	17.1	-0.93
Michael Ruffin	15	13	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-4	7	14.5	15.9	-1.35	21.0	15.8	5.24
Donell Taylor	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.12	-6	5	-11	15.7	15.7	0.06	25.8	15.9	9.98
Gilbert Arenas	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.60	5	-6	11	15.7	15.7	-0.06	15.9	25.8	-9.98
Etan Thomas	33	32	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	11	-23	17.1	14.8	2.22	17.1	16.2	0.93
Antonio Daniels	54	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.55	-2	1	-3	15.6	15.7	-0.16	17.6	14.9	2.71
Jared Jeffries	53	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.82	6	-7	13	15.1	16.5	-1.46	16.5	16.6	-0.06
Caron Butler	62	63	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.44	-12	11	-23	16.5	13.7	2.82	15.3	19.5	-4.25

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	70	70	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-7	15	16.1	18.1	-1.94	16.2	13.6	2.64
David West	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	-3	7	15.8	21.0	-5.24	15.9	14.5	1.35
Kirk Snyder	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	3	-5	15.3	18.2	-2.98	16.0	15.2	0.75
Aaron Williams	40	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	-5	11	16.8	16.3	0.49	16.4	15.1	1.33
Desmond Mason	74	73	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.49	-8	9	-17	15.8	20.2	-4.42	15.7	15.6	0.08
Bostjan Nachbar	15	17	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-8	17	20.2	15.8	4.42	15.6	15.7	-0.08
P.J. Brown	52	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	7	-13	16.9	16.0	0.90	15.4	16.1	-0.75
Rasual Butler	47	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	3	-5	18.1	14.7	3.43	14.7	16.7	-1.99
Jackson Vroman	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	19.3	16.2	3.12	12.9	16.0	-3.13
Moochie Norris	10	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	3	-5	18.3	16.3	2.00	14.5	15.8	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1	92.1%
BOS 104, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.91,1	91.6%
CLE 90, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.6,0.61,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	91.5%