inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 104 Excitement7.1 [425] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +34.7%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback26.8 [119] LVPRyan Gomes (BOS): -13.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0.290,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.290.210.130.051879%0.301-0.022100%0.01
Delonte West0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.011352%0.072-0.03367%-0.02
Tony Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00260%0.0200.001100%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,00.01-0.01-0.01560%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.04530%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.030,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.030.06-0.090.012656%0.053-0.08967%-0.01
Brian Scalabrine-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.0320%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01417%-0.0700.00450%-0.03
Orien Greene-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08-0.03-0.050.0020%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.140,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.140.00-0.130.01769%0.053-0.19250%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.350.350.130.220.012059%0.371-0.021155%-0.05
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.150.150.050.120.02661%0.1500.00683%0.05
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.140.140.100.070.031275%0.213-0.074100%0.06
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.020.01275%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01437%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.021955%0.083-0.10922%-0.15
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01558%-0.002-0.03250%-0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.020.02650%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0110%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.63.434.519.829.13.440.5156.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.2%
MIA +14.3%
MIA +2.2%
MIA +6.0%
BOS -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game15.414.315.6107.2110.3104.4
season14.815.5103.3106.1
opponent15.515.8102.3104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.917.016.414.515.4
MIA15.515.011.914.914.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz42440.43-0.931.35-0.1620-234314.616.0-1.4015.413.41.99
Orien Greene2017-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-6915.815.30.5515.114.11.02
Brian Scalabrine77-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-52-717.415.32.177.314.8-7.54
Tony Allen2223-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-118-1917.414.82.5213.814.4-0.59
Ryan Gomes8081-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.425-81315.216.6-1.4314.115.2-1.09
Al Jefferson2726-0.38-0.12-0.250.09-1613-2916.814.91.8914.314.30.09
Delonte West8586-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.35-1-2115.217.2-2.0014.016.5-2.45
Paul Pierce8786-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.35-2-1-115.316.6-1.3214.115.9-1.84
Wally Szczerbiak7879-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.512-5715.016.9-1.9114.812.22.59
Kendrick Perkins3736-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.20-107-1715.815.20.5614.714.00.62

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams73740.72-0.220.930.3014-112514.015.2-1.2415.216.1-0.94
Udonis Haslem71700.56-0.060.610.415-2713.715.7-1.9815.216.0-0.76
Gary Payton45440.51-0.010.520.5103-314.514.10.3515.915.00.95
Shaquille O'Neal80780.500.000.500.249-61514.513.31.1915.515.10.38
Dwyane Wade82830.420.080.340.3621114.314.10.2514.918.5-3.61
Derek Anderson33320.140.36-0.210.034-1513.914.5-0.5617.514.43.07
Alonzo Mourning2627-0.060.56-0.620.09-58-1314.614.20.4615.115.5-0.37
James Posey4646-0.080.58-0.66-0.0803-314.514.10.4614.915.9-1.03
Antoine Walker2121-0.100.60-0.700.11-710-1715.314.01.2916.115.20.93
Shandon Anderson810-0.110.61-0.720.10-710-1714.614.20.3815.115.4-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 96, NOK 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,191.6%
PHX 91, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,191.3%
DET 95, UTA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.84,191.1%