NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	7.3 [372]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +9.9%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	22.6 [44]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (PHX): -33.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	18	72%	0.22	6	-0.12	3	100%	0.06
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	63%	0.16	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.26	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	21	40%	-0.23	2	-0.03	10	50%	-0.09
Bo Outlaw	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.12	-0.21	-0.01	12	38%	-0.25	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.13

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	18	64%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.02,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	21	59%	0.15	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.13
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	-0.00	20	34%	-0.16	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.7	26.4	16.4	26.4	2.4	37.5	133.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -15.0%

NYK +15.1%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +32.7%

NYK +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.6	102.2	106.7	102.3
season	15.1	15.9		101.0	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	18.6	17.4	15.0	16.0
NYK	14.7	17.4	14.7	18.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-8	11	16.8	15.6	1.21	15.3	16.7	-1.31
Jake Tsakalidis	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	2	-9	17.0	15.5	1.58	14.5	17.0	-2.48
Tony Delk	27	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.41	16.8	15.9	0.84
Jake Voskuhl	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-8	11	15.6	16.6	-0.97	17.2	14.5	2.67
Bo Outlaw	85	86	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-6	7	16.2	12.5	3.65	16.6	8.2	8.31
Stephon Marbury	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	15.9	16.3	-0.38	16.3	15.3	1.00
Anfernee Hardaway	66	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	5	-15	16.1	15.7	0.45	15.4	18.6	-3.24
Shawn Marion	71	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	6	-17	15.3	18.6	-3.22	16.2	16.1	0.11

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	70	69	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-9	23	15.8	17.4	-1.56	15.2	18.6	-3.37
Marcus Camby	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-1	7	15.8	17.7	-1.85	15.5	18.0	-2.52
Allan Houston	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-1	7	16.4	14.6	1.81	16.2	14.0	2.16
Kurt Thomas	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	15.7	17.8	-2.16	15.3	18.0	-2.73
Latrell Sprewell	78	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	15.9	18.2	-2.28	15.6	18.5	-2.90
Shandon Anderson	21	20	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	16.6	16.1	0.56	16.9	15.7	1.18
Clar. Weatherspoon	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	3	-1	18.7	14.9	3.72	17.7	15.1	2.63
Othella Harrington	10	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	15.0	16.3	-1.34	18.9	15.6	3.28
Charlie Ward	20	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	14	-23	17.4	15.8	1.56	18.6	15.2	3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	92.5%
HOU 91, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.96,1	92.4%
DET 95, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.84,1	91.7%