NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	6.5 [406]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (HOU): +21.3%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	12.7 [158]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -12.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.02	0.17	-0.03	10	50%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.02	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.09	0.12	-0.04	-0.01	21	64%	0.15	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	12	50%	0.13	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.01	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.03	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.19	0.02	14	54%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.01	4	53%	0.17	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.04	0.15	-0.01	8	44%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	16	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	12	74%	0.16	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	0.6	26.5	14.8	30.0	2.0	31.2	131.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.5%

SAS +0.2%

HOU -3.7%

SAS +21.8%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.6	95.8	103.1	102.8
season	15.4	15.3		103.5	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.8	16.5	12.9	16.7	14.7
SAS	19.0	12.3	13.8	17.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	32	33	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.03	9	-17	26	12.3	15.9	-3.58	17.7	14.3	3.35
Chase Budinger	17	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-9	10	16.8	14.2	2.57	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Luis Scola	50	50	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-7	6	13.4	16.0	-2.56	16.3	14.7	1.63
Jordan Hill	43	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	16.2	13.4	2.76	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Goran Dragic	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	17.5	13.4	4.12	16.4	15.1	1.36
Samuel Dalembert	52	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	13.4	16.2	-2.76	16.3	14.7	1.59
Kevin Martin	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	13.8	17.5	-3.65	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Patrick Patterson	45	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	16.0	13.4	2.56	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Kyle Lowry	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	-1	-6	13.8	17.0	-3.20	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Courtney Lee	63	63	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.23	-17	9	-26	15.9	12.3	3.58	14.3	17.7	-3.35

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	68	67	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.09	26	-18	44	14.8	17.2	-2.42	15.4	12.9	2.44
Matt Bonner	54	54	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.24	20	-12	32	15.0	16.1	-1.10	16.2	12.6	3.68
Danny Green	58	57	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-6	20	15.4	15.6	-0.13	15.7	13.1	2.62
Tim Duncan	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	15.0	16.5	-1.50	13.6	16.8	-3.24
Tony Parker	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	16.1	13.4	2.65	14.6	14.9	-0.26
James Anderson	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.18	13	-5	18	10.8	17.4	-6.66	15.1	14.5	0.65
Tiago Splitter	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	6	-4	16.5	15.0	1.50	16.8	13.6	3.24
Kawhi Leonard	17	16	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.18	-15	23	-38	20.4	14.4	5.97	10.9	15.4	-4.47
DeJuan Blair	41	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.08	-14	22	-36	16.5	14.8	1.68	12.8	16.0	-3.24
Richard Jefferson	43	43	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.10	-15	23	-38	16.5	14.7	1.79	13.1	16.0	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,1	92.4%
UTA 96, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.85,1	91.3%
BOS 104, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.91,1	91.1%