NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	8.1 [232]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (LAL): +14.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	9.5 [339]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -32.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	16	68%	0.22	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.02
John Crotty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	46%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,-0.14	0.04	-0.18	0.00	7	74%	-0.11	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.34
John Amaechi	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.10	-0.21	-0.00	9	38%	-0.28	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.14
Bryon Russell	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.3,-0.31	-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	5	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33	-0.16	-0.20	-0.03	12	38%	-0.15	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	15	53%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	3	37%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	21	67%	0.12	5	-0.17	15	80%	-0.08
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	15	62%	0.11	6	-0.19	18	56%	-0.08
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	6	31%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	34.5	16.3	30.7	2.0	40.2	152.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.4%

LAL +17.1%

UTA -23.0%

LAL +16.8%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	15.6	99.0	102.0	102.3
season	16.1	15.3		102.9	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	16.8	15.0	15.5	15.6
LAL	14.1	14.5	15.6	11.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	34	34	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-15	26	14.9	16.0	-1.12	15.4	13.1	2.30
John Starks	16	15	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-9	14	18.4	15.1	3.35	14.7	13.8	0.90
Greg Ostertag	28	31	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-12	20	15.4	15.8	-0.40	15.6	13.1	2.49
Scott Padgett	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-2	0	25.0	15.5	9.46	2.0	14.2	-12.16
Karl Malone	59	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	15.6	15.7	-0.16	14.5	13.0	1.53
John Crotty	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	1	-6	14.8	16.0	-1.15	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Donyell Marshall	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	2	-8	15.1	17.7	-2.60	14.0	13.6	0.37
John Amaechi	62	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	7	-18	16.0	15.0	1.00	13.3	14.9	-1.57
John Stockton	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-4	4	15.8	15.2	0.63	14.1	13.4	0.64
Andrei Kirilenko	52	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	15.8	15.5	0.28	13.3	14.6	-1.32
Bryon Russell	58	60	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.41	-11	7	-18	15.7	15.5	0.21	13.0	15.3	-2.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	49	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-7	18	13.2	14.6	-1.37	15.9	15.4	0.52
Robert Horry	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-3	10	14.0	13.7	0.28	15.9	15.1	0.78
Lindsey Hunter	78	76	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-2	8	13.6	15.2	-1.62	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Kobe Bryant	91	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	13.8	14.9	-1.02	15.9	13.2	2.66
Shaquille O'Neal	84	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	3	-2	14.0	13.3	0.73	15.8	14.7	1.14
Mike Penberthy	4	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	16.0	13.8	2.18	11.4	15.9	-4.47
Mitch Richmond	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	2	0	13.5	14.1	-0.54	16.6	15.3	1.31
Slava Medvedenko	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	2	0	13.8	13.9	-0.14	17.1	15.5	1.63
Rick Fox	50	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	10	-16	14.3	13.5	0.84	15.2	16.1	-0.96
Samaki Walker	32	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	11	-18	15.0	13.4	1.57	14.5	16.2	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.55,0.55,0.78,1,1	93.0%
MIN 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.99,1	92.3%
LAC 102, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,1	92.1%