NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	7.1 [378]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +13.0%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	11.6 [88]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -28.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.06	0.03	11	91%	0.16	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.09	0.03	6	67%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	11	32%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	7	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.12	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.22,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	25	40%	-0.12	5	-0.17	5	80%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.11	0.02	12	67%	0.21	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	14	70%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	10	63%	0.06	1	-0.01	10	90%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.10	0.03	7	57%	-0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	13	40%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	28.3	16.6	22.1	2.4	30.7	124.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.8%

DET +3.9%

DET +4.1%

DET +13.8%

SAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	17.1	15.5	96.7	108.8	101.6
season	14.0	16.8		104.4	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.7		97.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	14.3	16.9	14.1	14.5
DET	18.5	18.4	15.9	15.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	53	53	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.02	12	-23	35	14.7	14.2	0.51	17.3	16.9	0.47
Hedo Turkoglu	12	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-15	19	13.9	14.6	-0.68	20.1	16.7	3.39
Bobby Jackson	27	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	15.4	14.1	1.34	17.8	16.8	1.01
Jim Jackson	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-5	-1	15.5	14.0	1.48	18.2	16.6	1.54
Doug Christie	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-2	-7	14.0	15.7	-1.76	16.7	18.0	-1.31
Peja Stojakovic	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	-1	-9	14.2	15.9	-1.69	16.7	18.9	-2.14
Mike Bibby	69	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.5	19.0	-2.43
Keon Clark	48	47	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	-1	-9	14.4	14.6	-0.23	17.4	16.9	0.45
Chris Webber	78	79	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	9	-29	14.5	14.7	-0.22	17.0	18.0	-0.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	46	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	1	9	17.5	16.8	0.72	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Chauncey Billups	62	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-8	27	17.0	17.5	-0.50	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Clifford Robinson	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-2	15	16.9	17.8	-0.85	14.1	15.6	-1.42
Ben Wallace	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	6	-1	16.9	19.9	-2.94	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Jon Barry	38	37	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-2	15	17.2	17.1	0.03	15.9	13.5	2.38
Richard Hamilton	60	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	5	1	16.8	17.8	-1.06	13.7	16.1	-2.38
Mehmet Okur	32	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	7	-3	18.2	16.6	1.66	15.4	14.0	1.38
Hubert Davis	29	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	19	-27	17.5	17.0	0.50	15.2	14.2	1.02
Michael Curry	38	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	18	-25	17.3	17.1	0.21	14.5	14.5	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.55,0.55,0.78,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.85,1	93.0%
LAC 118, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.99,1	91.4%
NOH 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.78,0.96,1	91.1%