NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	6.8 [447]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +29.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	25.7 [98]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -17.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07	0.01	-0.00	-0.06	21	68%	0.26	8	-0.19	8	75%	-0.03
P.J. Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	7	81%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	7	36%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	10	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Jamal Mashburn	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	24	44%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.22	-0.01	11	64%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.13	0.03	9	106%	0.34	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	11	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	15	67%	-0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	8	44%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.05	0.02	16	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	26.3	15.0	29.3	2.6	40.8	138.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.7%

CLE +1.6%

NOH -17.3%

CLE +21.7%

NOH -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CLE	NBA	NOH	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.7	106.4	111.8	100.5
season	16.0	15.7		99.3	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	11.5	16.8	17.8	16.9	15.6
CLE	17.3	13.2	14.1	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	34	33	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.20	-2	-2	0	15.9	15.5	0.32	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Robert Traylor	18	17	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.09	0	-4	4	13.6	16.1	-2.52	12.2	15.8	-3.64
George Lynch	16	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-7	10	14.7	15.8	-1.16	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Steven Smith	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-6	8	6.5	15.8	-9.35	1.5	15.5	-13.95
Baron Davis	82	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-2	0	16.3	11.2	5.04	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Stacey Augmon	52	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-1	-2	14.9	16.6	-1.71	15.7	14.5	1.23
Jamal Mashburn	77	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.35	-5	1	-6	15.9	14.4	1.58	15.1	15.2	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	59	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-2	0	17.0	13.4	3.63	16.4	12.9	3.52
Darrell Armstrong	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	5	-14	15.2	16.3	-1.16	14.7	15.8	-1.08
P.J. Brown	74	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.60	-2	-2	0	15.3	16.9	-1.59	15.4	14.2	1.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	49	49	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.14	28	-24	52	14.5	15.9	-1.35	18.8	12.2	6.57
Carlos Boozer	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	15.0	15.6	-0.55	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Jeff McInnis	53	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-9	22	15.4	14.9	0.48	17.4	13.1	4.27
LeBron James	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	0	4	15.3	14.8	0.43	15.9	14.8	1.15
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-6	16	15.1	15.3	-0.18	16.2	14.4	1.84
Kevin Ollie	36	35	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	10	-16	14.5	15.6	-1.11	12.9	17.3	-4.45
Tony Battie	36	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	8	-12	15.8	14.7	1.11	14.7	16.2	-1.52
Dajuan Wagner	38	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	6	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.48	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Ira Newble	16	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	14	-24	16.3	14.9	1.40	12.7	16.3	-3.57
Eric Williams	34	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.26	-18	22	-40	15.7	14.8	0.83	13.9	16.6	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.55,0.55,0.78,1,1	91.1%
UTA 96, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.85,1	90.3%
SAC 104, SAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.55,0.53,0.89,0.89,1,1	90.1%