NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	6.2 [607]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +44.3%
San Antonio Spurs	114		Comeback	43.2 [249]		LVP	Darren Collison (SAC): -9.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.18	-0.05	-0.01	13	79%	0.26	2	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02
Skal Labissiere	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.06	0.03	10	71%	0.19	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.12	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	10	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	35%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.04	0.06	9	61%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	9	26%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.17	0.25	-0.02	9	89%	0.44	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.13	-0.01	9	78%	0.27	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.07	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.04	15	59%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	13	48%	0.02	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	30.3	15.5	23.1	1.6	34.6	130.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.3%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +6.9%

SAS +12.9%

SAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	13.9	14.8	105.1	114.0	107.7
season	15.4	15.4		106.0	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.6		103.7	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	15.0	17.2	14.5	15.0
SAS	14.2	13.8	12.3	15.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	48	50	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-16	22	15.7	14.4	1.31	13.5	14.4	-0.96
Anthony Tolliver	56	55	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-14	18	16.0	13.7	2.28	13.1	15.0	-1.97
Arron Afflalo	57	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-12	14	15.1	14.9	0.22	13.1	15.1	-1.99
Kosta Koufos	53	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-9	8	16.4	13.5	2.90	12.8	15.1	-2.28
Skal Labissiere	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-6	2	13.2	15.8	-2.55	16.0	13.0	2.99
Tyreke Evans	59	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-1	-8	15.8	13.8	1.99	12.9	15.5	-2.60
Buddy Hield	38	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	14.5	15.3	-0.87	15.1	13.3	1.77
Garrett Temple	51	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.8	16.3	-2.57	15.0	12.7	2.30
Ty Lawson	51	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.17	-16	6	-22	14.4	15.7	-1.31	14.4	13.5	0.96
Willie Cauley-Stein	53	56	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.38	-13	3	-16	14.2	16.0	-1.77	14.9	12.7	2.21

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	56	55	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.06	23	-13	36	12.0	16.5	-4.49	15.2	14.7	0.47
Patty Mills	58	57	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.06	23	-13	36	12.1	16.5	-4.45	15.1	14.9	0.22
David Lee	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-2	14	14.4	13.2	1.16	15.1	14.9	0.19
Jonathon Simmons	49	50	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.56	-6	16	-22	16.1	11.9	4.24	15.0	15.0	0.06
Davis Bertans	41	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	8	-6	13.4	14.3	-0.89	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Dejounte Murray	26	25	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	-7	24	14.2	13.9	0.34	15.6	14.8	0.79
Kyle Anderson	49	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	-4	18	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Pau Gasol	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	6	-2	13.7	14.1	-0.35	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Danny Green	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	15	-20	15.3	12.3	3.00	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Bryn Forbes	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	6.0	14.0	-8.02	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Joel Anthony	8	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	16	-22	13.1	14.0	-0.89	12.9	15.2	-2.32
Dewayne Dedmon	28	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	21	-32	13.6	14.1	-0.41	16.3	14.5	1.83
Tony Parker	31	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.19	-17	27	-44	16.0	13.0	2.94	15.2	14.9	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.55,0.53,0.89,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.78,0.96,1	90.1%
HOU 91, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.96,1	89.9%
BOS 104, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.91,1	89.8%