inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 109 Excitement8.6 [193] MVPDerMarr Johnson (DEN): +35.1%
Los Angeles Clippers 111 Comeback21.2 [130] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -20.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.350.170.190.011376%0.3500.003100%0.05
Howard Eisley0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.01287%0.102-0.044100%0.05
Greg Buckner0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.01772%0.082-0.034100%0.01
Marcus Camby0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.010.031363%0.061-0.02425%-0.03
Francisco Elson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.01446%-0.031-0.0250%-0.09
Ruben Patterson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05-0.00-0.06-0.01747%-0.041-0.02367%-0.02
Kenyon Martin-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.16-0.01-0.18-0.03650%-0.121-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller-0.160,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.10-0.02633%-0.123-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.20.04-0.230.011759%-0.023-0.187100%0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.210.210.110.110.001363%0.2100.0010%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.150.150.000.13-0.021455%0.203-0.05580%0.01
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.120.12-0.070.19-0.001846%0.264-0.14580%0.23
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.12-0.010.041075%0.081-0.01450%-0.03
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01654%0.0400.001100%0.00
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.013100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
James Singleton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01233%-0.0100.0020%-0.02
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.0010%-0.0700.0020%-0.05
Cuttino Mobley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.020.05543%-0.0800.004100%0.01
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.120.01970%-0.016-0.162100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.429.415.728.72.042.0144.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +35.4%
LAC +12.4%
LAC +26.1%
DEN -13.4%
DEN -10.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLACNBADENLACNBA
this game13.915.115.6109.0112.1104.4
season14.415.2103.5103.9
opponent15.515.9102.1103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.511.715.815.913.9
LAC17.014.513.016.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson29300.17-0.670.85-0.037-91613.913.90.0616.414.51.92
Greg Buckner45440.16-0.660.81-0.1410-122213.114.5-1.4214.915.2-0.27
Carmelo Anthony75750.02-0.520.54-0.104-61013.614.8-1.2714.816.0-1.24
Howard Eisley3839-0.21-0.290.080.14-1210-2214.513.50.9414.415.5-1.12
Reggie Evans4343-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.353-5813.514.2-0.6214.415.6-1.22
Andre Miller6260-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.5910-122213.514.5-0.9415.514.41.12
Marcus Camby7473-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.464-61013.415.2-1.7115.414.21.23
Ruben Patterson4339-0.560.06-0.63-0.09-1614-3015.113.02.1114.715.3-0.65
Kenyon Martin5151-0.580.08-0.66-0.14-1513-2814.613.21.4214.615.6-0.97
DerMarr Johnson4041-0.600.10-0.71-0.46-53-814.313.60.7715.914.51.44

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinton Ross34320.90-0.401.310.4117-153214.215.5-1.3515.113.31.82
Elton Brand80820.58-0.080.650.435-3815.015.1-0.0613.714.8-1.08
Shaun Livingston35340.55-0.050.600.1414-122613.915.7-1.7314.313.70.57
Chris Kaman87870.470.030.430.4411014.915.9-0.9714.112.51.64
Corey Maggette47480.260.240.020.038-61415.914.31.5514.113.70.45
Vladimir Radmanovic65650.230.27-0.04-0.039-71613.917.2-3.2713.414.8-1.40
Walter McCarty9100.010.49-0.480.04-13-416.814.91.8918.613.45.23
Sam Cassell6669-0.090.59-0.680.29-1315-2815.713.91.7713.514.7-1.23
Zeljko Rebraca2322-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-24-614.715.2-0.4812.014.4-2.36
Cuttino Mobley3839-0.130.63-0.770.37-1719-3615.914.51.4014.113.80.35
James Singleton1112-0.180.68-0.860.14-1113-2418.414.63.7212.014.1-2.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 91, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,192.5%
GSW 104, LAL 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.72,0.9,0.91,192.0%
MIN 100, DAL 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.98,191.4%