NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	5.5 [724]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +24.6%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	91.6 [94]		LVP	Rodney Carney (MIN): -8.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.01	0.18	-0.04	16	57%	0.30	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.06
Rashad McCants	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.15	-0.02	0.08	11	86%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	12	69%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.13	0.03	21	66%	0.28	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	0.00	22	52%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.06	0.05	18	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.05
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.5	15.7	26.4	1.7	25.0	121.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.0%

MIN -9.1%

DAL +7.2%

DAL +27.4%

MIN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.1	15.5	116.3	120.2	106.4
season	15.8	15.6		104.3	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	14.8	19.0	19.4	16.8
DAL	16.8	18.0	13.7	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	23	23	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.10	9	-16	25	16.0	17.1	-1.19	18.0	15.4	2.62
Sebastian Telfair	40	42	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-13	19	16.8	16.8	-0.05	16.7	15.6	1.12
Craig Smith	34	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-3	-1	16.6	16.9	-0.30	15.0	16.8	-1.78
Kevin Love	33	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-11	15	16.3	17.2	-0.85	17.0	15.5	1.53
Rodney Carney	27	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-11	15	16.6	16.9	-0.29	17.2	15.6	1.68
Al Jefferson	59	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	4	-15	16.9	16.6	0.29	15.6	17.2	-1.68
Ryan Gomes	59	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	4	-15	16.9	16.6	0.29	15.6	17.2	-1.68
Brian Cardinal	46	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-4	1	17.2	16.4	0.84	16.9	15.2	1.68
Kevin Ollie	46	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.22	-13	6	-19	16.8	16.8	0.05	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Randy Foye	63	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.19	-16	9	-25	17.1	16.0	1.19	15.4	18.0	-2.62

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	70	66	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-11	29	16.0	16.5	-0.54	17.4	14.9	2.44
Josh Howard	75	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	15.8	17.6	-1.74	16.7	17.5	-0.86
Jason Kidd	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.21	10	-3	13	16.0	16.6	-0.67	16.8	16.7	0.13
Erick Dampier	57	57	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-1	9	15.8	16.6	-0.72	16.9	16.7	0.15
Dirk Nowitzki	75	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	15.7	18.4	-2.68	16.5	18.5	-1.99
DeSagana Diop	22	20	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	1	5	15.7	16.2	-0.56	17.0	16.8	0.23
James Singleton	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	6	-5	17.4	15.8	1.56	18.5	16.5	1.99
Antoine Wright	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	9	-11	15.8	16.2	-0.41	16.9	16.8	0.11
Brandon Bass	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	20.1	15.6	4.46	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Jose Juan Barea	12	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	15	-23	17.9	15.8	2.10	15.2	17.0	-1.84
Devean George	10	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	15	-23	18.5	15.8	2.70	15.4	17.0	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.75,0.91,1	93.0%
CHA 87, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.53,0.76,0.84,0.76,0.95,1	92.6%
DEN 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	91.4%