NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	7.2 [365]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +24.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	11.4 [174]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -29.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.10	-0.01	7	80%	0.28	1	-0.09	11	91%	0.10
Mickael Pietrus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	17	58%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	12	48%	-0.09	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.11
Jason Richardson	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.3	-0.13	-0.19	-0.02	15	41%	-0.13	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.16	-0.01	16	66%	0.29	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	3	37%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.07	0.00	29	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	18	94%	0.09
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	28.6	16.7	23.2	1.7	41.0	137.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.1%

GSW -2.8%

LAL +10.2%

LAL +18.7%

GSW -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.6	15.7	113.0	116.0	100.5
season	16.1	15.4		100.8	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.7	16.1	18.1	14.7	16.3
LAL	14.6	14.5	15.4	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	21.2	15.5	5.69	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Adonal Foyle	60	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.20	2	-7	9	16.9	15.2	1.73	15.8	12.5	3.37
Mickael Pietrus	77	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.9	18.8	-2.93	15.1	12.1	3.02
Mike Dunleavy	73	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-3	1	15.9	18.2	-2.35	14.4	15.6	-1.24
Calbert Cheaney	46	48	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	16.8	15.9	0.87	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Brian Cardinal	45	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-5	5	15.9	16.7	-0.81	13.9	15.4	-1.45
Clifford Robinson	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	16.1	17.7	-1.57	14.3	16.3	-1.94
Jason Richardson	67	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	6	-17	16.2	16.8	-0.62	15.2	13.2	1.99

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	40	39	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-9	23	14.1	15.0	-0.85	16.9	16.0	0.91
Slava Medvedenko	50	49	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	13.8	15.5	-1.71	16.5	16.2	0.26
Kobe Bryant	86	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-4	13	14.5	16.6	-2.17	16.0	19.6	-3.59
Shaquille O'Neal	71	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-4	13	15.6	11.6	4.07	17.4	12.7	4.77
Kareem Rush	36	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	3	-1	14.6	14.7	-0.13	16.7	16.2	0.52
Luke Walton	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	1	3	13.7	14.8	-1.10	21.2	15.5	5.69
Brian Cook	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	6	-7	16.7	14.5	2.21	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Gary Payton	64	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	13	-21	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.2	18.8	-3.57
Devean George	45	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	15.5	13.9	1.63	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Karl Malone	61	59	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.03	-9	14	-23	14.5	15.0	-0.51	15.2	18.4	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.72,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	92.0%
POR 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.95,1	91.8%
NOH 86, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.99,1	91.7%