NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	122		Excitement	6.8 [496]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +22.8%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	1.2 [499]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DET): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.03	18	76%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.04	0.04	19	66%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.20	0.03	0.08	14	83%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Julian Phillips	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	19	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	17	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.04
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	39%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	15	52%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	10	10%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	25.3	14.6	29.5	2.3	28.4	129.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +59.0%

DET -7.1%

DET -2.8%

DET -1.6%

CHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	14.4	125.8	114.3	113.0
season	13.2	14.1		112.4	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.9	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	13.5	14.0	17.1	14.8
DET	17.3	14.7	13.1	14.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	70	68	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.16	24	-14	38	14.5	15.4	-0.96	16.2	11.5	4.74
Zach LaVine	70	67	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.15	24	-14	38	14.5	15.4	-0.96	16.0	12.2	3.79
Josh Giddey	58	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-3	16	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.4	13.9	1.56
Ayo Dosunmu	63	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	2	6	14.8	14.7	0.03	15.0	14.3	0.77
Patrick Williams	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	7	-4	15.6	12.9	2.70	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Julian Phillips	29	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	3	4	12.9	15.6	-2.70	15.6	14.4	1.21
Coby White	71	70	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	13	-16	14.9	14.3	0.56	13.8	17.2	-3.35
Matas Buzelis	4	5	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	13	-16	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.4	14.7	1.70
Dalen Terry	25	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	19	-28	15.3	14.6	0.76	12.3	15.7	-3.44
Jalen Smith	27	30	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.05	-14	24	-38	15.4	14.5	0.96	11.5	16.2	-4.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	32	31	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-17	24	13.6	15.3	-1.72	15.0	14.6	0.41
Marcus Sasser	14	14	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-17	24	12.9	15.1	-2.17	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Ronald Holland II	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	12.6	15.3	-2.66	16.2	14.4	1.81
Isaiah Stewart	38	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-10	10	15.1	14.6	0.44	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Cade Cunningham	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	14.8	14.8	-0.07	15.0	13.9	1.17
Jalen Duren	63	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.7	14.9	-0.16	14.9	14.5	0.43
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	15.0	14.5	0.51	14.9	14.5	0.36
Malik Beasley	61	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	15.5	13.6	1.83	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Jaden Ivey	66	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	5	-20	14.4	15.5	-1.06	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Tobias Harris	62	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.08	-21	11	-32	15.9	12.9	2.91	14.8	14.7	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0	93.8%
OKC 120, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
CLE 95, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.14,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%