inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Excitement6.7 [372] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +16.1%
Golden State Warriors 109 Comeback1.1 [797] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -11.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.06-0.001068%0.222-0.068100%0.05
Serge Ibaka0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.021562%0.152-0.092100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01350%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.020,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.010.072463%0.177-0.1911100%0.03
Reggie Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.010.04355%-0.031-0.02540%-0.02
Daequan Cook-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00425%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.100,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.030.042057%0.077-0.17978%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00887%0.171-0.0500%0.00
Dominic McGuire00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.030.021073%0.084-0.09683%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00330%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.19-0.020.181477%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00558%0.032-0.062100%0.01
Jeremy Tyler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01560%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.010.001645%-0.014-0.081100%0.01
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.00950%0.023-0.1200%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.130.00-0.021734%-0.033-0.08475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.80.331.115.625.81.833.3131.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +8.9%
OKC +12.8%
OKC +36.1%
GSW -5.1%
GSW -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.113.215.6113.2103.8102.8
season14.715.2107.9103.6
opponent15.415.8106.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC11.514.915.914.514.1
GSW14.212.215.411.213.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant98970.58-0.080.650.1714-31713.718.9-5.1813.114.0-0.86
Russell Westbrook91920.51-0.010.530.1612-11313.716.5-2.8513.511.32.17
James Harden75740.420.080.340.2274314.313.50.7613.412.80.53
Serge Ibaka78780.420.080.340.1692714.513.01.5213.412.70.68
Nick Collison55540.410.090.310.2365114.913.21.7512.613.8-1.23
Thabo Sefolosha28280.200.30-0.10-0.10101911.215.1-3.9512.713.4-0.68
Kendrick Perkins51510.090.41-0.31-0.0556-113.214.9-1.7513.812.61.23
Nazr Mohammed16140.040.46-0.430.04011-1115.113.91.1514.713.01.74
Reggie Jackson2322-0.010.51-0.520.02-112-1316.813.33.5012.613.4-0.73
Daequan Cook1515-0.160.66-0.820.05-718-2516.113.82.3110.713.6-2.97

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominic McGuire1312-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-131511.913.4-1.4716.813.73.10
Klay Thompson4343-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-131512.114.0-1.8115.313.32.05
Jeremy Tyler3333-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-7312.013.8-1.7615.513.51.99
Andris Biedrins2021-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-7316.212.53.7612.414.5-2.07
Brandon Rush6062-0.17-0.330.16-0.232-131511.915.0-3.0914.413.60.84
Ekpe Udoh4140-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-8513.912.81.0615.313.41.91
Nate Robinson2929-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-9713.413.10.2815.313.61.69
Dorell Wright6970-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-4-313.113.5-0.4413.215.7-2.48
Stephen Curry6061-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-2-713.612.61.0313.914.3-0.39
David Lee7778-0.540.04-0.58-0.13-143-1713.911.42.5313.416.1-2.75
Monta Ellis8081-0.550.05-0.61-0.03-187-2513.512.41.1213.217.1-3.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 100, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,094.2%
SAC 114, GSW 990.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,094.0%
BOS 86, DET 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,093.8%