NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	6.4 [555]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +33.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.2 [1285]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -16.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.34	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.23	0.12	0.01	22	74%	0.40	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	18	39%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	56%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.03
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	15	26%	-0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	15	60%	0.10	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	26%	-0.07	2	-0.06	5	0%	-0.11
Ish Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	21	40%	-0.03	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	30.6	16.4	24.4	2.3	29.6	131.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -0.6%

CLE +18.9%

CLE +8.8%

CLE +19.5%

CLE +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	14.9	97.9	87.6	105.1
season	15.8	14.8		110.3	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.9		108.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	14.8	16.2	17.9	15.6
PHI	13.8	13.4	15.1	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-8	26	15.5	15.7	-0.12	15.0	11.3	3.69
J.R. Smith	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.11	17	-7	24	15.1	16.9	-1.80	14.6	13.0	1.64
Tristan Thompson	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-2	14	16.0	14.2	1.87	14.7	12.4	2.31
LeBron James	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-1	12	15.9	14.5	1.38	15.0	11.5	3.49
Kyrie Irving	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.17	12	-2	14	16.3	14.4	1.93	14.3	13.8	0.49
Jared Cunningham	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	24.0	15.5	8.51	6.0	14.2	-8.20
Matthew Dellavedova	52	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	13	-16	14.8	16.5	-1.74	13.0	15.5	-2.43
Iman Shumpert	35	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	15	-20	15.6	15.6	0.04	12.9	14.8	-1.92
Timofey Mozgov	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	12	-14	12.4	16.6	-4.18	11.0	15.1	-4.08
Richard Jefferson	25	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	18	-26	17.2	15.0	2.24	12.6	14.6	-1.99

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	46	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-10	10	14.0	14.2	-0.13	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Carl Landry	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-4	-2	17.5	13.5	4.05	14.2	15.8	-1.59
JaKarr Sampson	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	13.5	14.2	-0.66	10.8	16.3	-5.55
Robert Covington	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-12	14	13.2	16.1	-2.83	15.7	15.3	0.35
TJ McConnell	21	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	12.6	14.5	-1.91	13.2	16.3	-3.09
Jahlil Okafor	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	14.2	14.0	0.22	15.9	14.9	1.04
Ish Smith	76	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-6	2	14.5	12.6	1.91	16.3	13.2	3.09
Nerlens Noel	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	13.7	15.2	-1.53	16.1	14.4	1.67
Jerami Grant	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.8	13.0	1.73	15.9	15.0	0.93
Hollis Thompson	51	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	14.2	14.0	0.13	15.7	15.5	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.14,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.0%
CHI 96, NOH 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.9%
HOU 112, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	92.7%