NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	8.4 [132]		MVP	Dalton Knecht (LAL): +28.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	99		Comeback	5.7 [288]		LVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): -11.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalton Knecht	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29	0.21	0.10	0.02	17	75%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.18,0.05,0.25	-0.08	0.31	-0.02	19	49%	0.41	6	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	20	66%	0.21	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Christian Koloko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	5	58%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Armel Traore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	15	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0.12,0.03,0.24,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	23	58%	0.35	7	-0.22	9	78%	0.03
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	9	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	18	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	24.6	14.6	28.5	1.8	33.7	131.0
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.7%

NOP -3.7%

LAL +8.7%

LAL +18.8%

NOP -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	15.9	14.4	113.0	108.8	112.2
season	14.9	14.5		112.7	108.7
opponent	14.2	14.3		116.9	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	15.6	14.5	17.7	15.5
NOP	14.2	18.0	16.8	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalton Knecht	71	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-6	17	15.3	16.3	-1.02	16.4	14.3	2.14
Austin Reaves	78	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-4	13	15.5	15.9	-0.45	16.4	13.9	2.50
Max Christie	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	4	-3	15.8	15.1	0.69	16.0	15.8	0.22
LeBron James	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	4	-3	15.4	16.0	-0.65	15.7	16.6	-0.85
Anthony Davis	72	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	3	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.67	16.3	14.7	1.59
D'Angelo Russell	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	-4	13	15.2	15.8	-0.68	16.7	15.4	1.33
Christian Koloko	20	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	2	1	16.8	15.2	1.67	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Armel Traore	8	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	15.9	15.5	0.36	14.1	16.2	-2.06
Gabe Vincent	44	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	14	-23	16.2	14.9	1.31	14.3	17.4	-3.09

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	61	61	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-4	3	15.6	16.6	-1.04	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Trey Jemison III	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.9	16.7	-1.74	16.8	14.7	2.07
Jamal Cain	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	3	-11	15.6	16.2	-0.60	16.2	15.0	1.19
Brandon Ingram	70	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	16.1	15.3	0.84	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Brandon Boston Jr.	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-8	11	15.0	18.7	-3.68	16.2	13.4	2.86
Yves Missi	53	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-3	1	16.7	14.9	1.74	14.7	16.8	-2.07
Jaylen Nowell	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	16.6	14.5	2.08	16.8	13.0	3.72
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	16.6	14.5	2.08	14.4	18.0	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.18,0.09,0.2,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.27,0	92.1%
MEM 88, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	90.1%
WAS 89, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.31,0	89.6%