NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	8.1 [208]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +20.3%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	4.0 [172]		LVP	Mario Elie (HOU): -19.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.00	12	64%	0.20	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.03
Adam Keefe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	8	71%	0.18	3	-0.12	8	100%	0.03
Shandon Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	80%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.04
Antoine Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	9	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	7	22%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.01	20	58%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	133%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.10	0.03	8	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	38%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.19,-0.12,-0.03,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	19	41%	-0.01	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	11	36%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	134.8	3.3	31.3	18.8	29.2	2.5	39.4	259.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.0%

UTA +13.0%

UTA +17.1%

HOU -1.8%

UTA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.6	111.6	107.5	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		108.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.4	14.9	13.8	15.2	15.7
HOU	14.0	15.1	15.6	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	78	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-8	22	15.5	16.7	-1.22	15.3	13.6	1.70
Jeff Hornacek	70	69	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-5	16	15.0	17.7	-2.73	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Karl Malone	81	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	15.9	14.9	0.99	14.7	16.4	-1.77
Antoine Carr	36	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	4	-2	12.8	17.5	-4.67	15.2	14.7	0.48
Bryon Russell	61	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	4	-2	15.8	15.6	0.14	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Adam Keefe	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	4	-2	15.7	15.7	0.07	16.0	14.3	1.71
Greg Foster	44	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	1	4	17.7	14.0	3.64	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Howard Eisley	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	11	-16	17.7	14.8	2.86	13.9	15.4	-1.43
Shandon Anderson	36	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	8	-10	16.2	15.4	0.88	15.5	14.6	0.85
Chris Morris	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	14	-22	14.7	15.8	-1.04	14.4	15.0	-0.60

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	26	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-8	10	15.6	14.7	0.91	17.3	15.1	2.21
Eddie Johnson	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-2	-2	15.8	14.7	1.08	14.3	16.1	-1.82
Matt Bullard	25	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	15.0	14.9	0.10	18.8	14.5	4.27
Charles Barkley	61	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-8	10	14.3	16.1	-1.83	15.3	16.4	-1.06
Kevin Willis	49	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	15.9	13.8	2.06	17.0	14.2	2.80
Mario Elie	56	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.8	0.14	14.8	17.1	-2.33
Hakeem Olajuwon	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	3	-12	14.8	15.5	-0.67	15.1	18.0	-2.87
Clyde Drexler	84	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	14.7	17.4	-2.79	15.7	15.4	0.29
Matt Maloney	67	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	2	-10	14.7	15.6	-0.91	15.1	17.3	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.09,0	90.7%
MIL 104, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.16,0	90.3%
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	89.9%