NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	7.0 [439]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +29.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	2.8 [702]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -17.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.13,0.3,0.3	0.14	0.16	0.00	15	74%	0.41	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.07
Danny Granger	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	7	88%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	21	67%	0.22	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Maceo Baston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	32%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	9	30%	-0.15	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	14	67%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	17	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.12	0.03	13	53%	0.01	1	-0.14	4	50%	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	18	47%	0.07	6	-0.24	7	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	30.0	16.5	23.4	2.5	40.6	139.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.4%

IND +8.3%

IND +12.8%

IND +4.2%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.4	114.8	105.7	104.5
season	15.3	15.5		101.3	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.2	15.5	16.0	15.8	16.3
PHI	17.0	15.8	19.1	14.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	53	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-6	20	15.8	17.1	-1.26	17.2	15.3	1.89
Jermaine O'Neal	71	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	16.2	16.8	-0.61	17.0	13.6	3.39
Jeff Foster	53	54	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	0	8	16.8	15.5	1.31	17.6	14.6	3.00
Stephen Jackson	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	16.2	16.9	-0.72	16.6	15.6	1.06
Danny Granger	51	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	4	0	15.8	17.1	-1.34	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Sarunas Jasikevicius	40	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	8	-8	16.2	16.4	-0.19	15.4	17.3	-1.93
Al Harrington	61	60	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	11	-14	17.0	14.9	2.08	16.1	16.9	-0.78
Marquis Daniels	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	16.9	16.3	0.57	12.1	16.8	-4.62
Darrell Armstrong	25	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	12	-16	16.2	16.4	-0.24	14.5	17.1	-2.61
Maceo Baston	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	14	-20	17.6	16.2	1.43	14.4	16.7	-2.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	19	18	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-16	24	15.0	16.8	-1.78	17.1	16.1	0.98
Alan Henderson	35	34	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.13	11	-19	30	17.2	15.8	1.38	18.8	14.8	4.02
Rodney Carney	5	6	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-15	22	14.4	16.5	-2.12	15.8	16.4	-0.53
Bobby Jones	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	12.8	16.9	-4.06	18.2	16.1	2.12
Steven Smith	21	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	16.0	16.5	-0.52	17.0	16.1	0.93
Kyle Korver	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	0	-8	15.7	18.0	-2.22	15.8	17.5	-1.66
Samuel Dalembert	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	17.3	12.1	5.22	15.9	18.4	-2.50
Willie Green	63	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	5	-18	16.8	15.4	1.45	15.6	18.2	-2.58
Andre Iguodala	86	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	3	-14	16.4	17.0	-0.62	16.2	19.0	-2.76
Kevin Ollie	66	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.23	-18	10	-28	16.4	16.3	0.17	16.1	17.1	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.45,0.02,0	92.0%
GSW 123, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.05,0	91.4%
HOU 90, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.04,0	91.4%