NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	123		Excitement	8.3 [178]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +31.4%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	3.1 [416]		LVP	Darius Songaila (WAS): -8.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.08	0.21	-0.02	24	56%	0.38	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Baron Davis	0.30	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3	0.18	0.12	-0.01	21	65%	0.32	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.03
Andris Biedrins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	0.00	7	71%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kelenna Azubuike	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	21	62%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.13	0.03	19	59%	0.26	3	-0.06	13	62%	-0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.05,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	9	69%	0.24	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.05	0.05	8	60%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	30.2	15.6	27.9	1.8	33.3	135.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.3%

WAS -13.5%

WAS -3.9%

GSW +10.4%

GSW +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.4	130.9	125.0	105.7
season	13.5	16.1		109.8	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		107.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	15.1	15.3	15.8	14.8
WAS	15.0	16.2	19.0	14.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	79	77	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.26	19	-11	30	14.6	16.0	-1.39	16.7	13.4	3.29
Andris Biedrins	62	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-4	16	15.4	13.8	1.59	16.3	15.8	0.52
Al Harrington	41	41	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	1	6	15.6	14.2	1.34	18.7	14.1	4.65
Stephen Jackson	85	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	5	-2	14.8	14.7	0.18	16.0	17.5	-1.48
Monta Ellis	54	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	15.1	14.5	0.57	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Brandan Wright	19	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	1	6	14.7	14.9	-0.12	16.8	16.0	0.87
Austin Croshere	12	12	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	16.3	14.6	1.72	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Patrick O'Bryant	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	6	-4	0.0	14.8	-14.83	9.0	16.2	-7.23
Kelenna Azubuike	68	68	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	13	-18	14.5	15.6	-1.09	16.0	16.6	-0.58
DJ Mbenga	6	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	13.8	14.9	-1.06	13.4	16.4	-2.95
Mickael Pietrus	44	42	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	18	-28	13.7	15.9	-2.20	14.8	17.3	-2.43

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	40	40	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.03	7	-15	22	15.0	17.1	-2.08	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Roger Mason Jr.	15	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	16.0	16.2	-0.18	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Andray Blatche	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-17	26	15.8	16.4	-0.62	16.0	14.0	2.04
Dominic McGuire	7	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-6	4	13.0	16.4	-3.41	17.7	14.6	3.19
Darius Songaila	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	15.3	16.5	-1.26	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Caron Butler	82	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	16.2	15.9	0.28	14.6	16.6	-2.05
DeShawn Stevenson	55	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	17.0	14.9	2.11	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Brendan Haywood	40	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	10	-28	17.9	14.8	3.18	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Antawn Jamison	85	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	16.2	15.9	0.32	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Antonio Daniels	71	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	8	-24	16.0	16.8	-0.85	14.8	15.0	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.09,0	92.3%
LAL 80, SAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.16,0	91.9%
IND 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.09,0	91.4%