NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	7.4 [99]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +21.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	2.9 [195]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (PHI): -11.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.15	0.03	21	55%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.14	0.00	4	100%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	16	68%	0.23	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.02	8	64%	0.23	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Jarrett Allen	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared McCain	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	26	61%	0.30	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.04	-0.03	7	93%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.03	14	67%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	24.3	14.8	28.4	1.8	26.0	118.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.3%

CLE +6.0%

PHI -3.6%

CLE +4.6%

PHI -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	16.4	14.4	117.5	109.3	112.0
season	13.6	15.2		120.3	105.3
opponent	14.2	14.8		112.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.6	13.5	11.6	17.1	13.3
PHI	17.2	14.7	17.2	16.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	68	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-9	26	13.0	14.0	-0.99	16.1	16.9	-0.81
Donovan Mitchell	70	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-5	18	13.2	13.8	-0.61	16.0	17.3	-1.26
Darius Garland	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-3	14	13.0	14.1	-1.07	16.7	15.5	1.15
Jarrett Allen	67	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	3	2	13.3	13.3	0.01	16.4	16.2	0.20
Caris LeVert	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	2	4	13.4	13.3	0.07	16.9	15.8	1.12
Isaac Okoro	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	2	4	11.5	14.7	-3.20	17.0	15.8	1.25
Dean Wade	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	11	-14	14.3	12.7	1.52	17.4	15.6	1.77
Craig Porter Jr.	23	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	15.0	12.8	2.23	14.5	16.9	-2.45
Georges Niang	33	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	13.2	13.4	-0.29	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Ty Jerome	26	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	16	-24	15.6	12.5	3.11	15.8	16.5	-0.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ Martin	33	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-12	16	15.2	17.0	-1.77	13.5	13.2	0.31
Eric Gordon	25	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	15.1	16.8	-1.71	13.3	13.4	-0.06
Ricky Council IV	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-8	8	17.6	16.0	1.56	14.4	13.1	1.33
Kyle Lowry	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-5	2	17.5	15.6	1.88	11.5	14.4	-2.91
Adem Bona	34	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	14.6	17.3	-2.62	13.6	13.2	0.37
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	16.1	16.4	-0.25	9.9	13.6	-3.75
Reggie Jackson	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-10	12	15.6	17.3	-1.71	15.1	11.3	3.78
Guerschon Yabusele	63	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	17.3	14.6	2.62	13.2	13.6	-0.37
Caleb Martin	69	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-3	-2	15.6	18.1	-2.52	13.5	12.8	0.73
Jared McCain	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	3	-14	17.0	14.0	2.94	13.6	12.2	1.41
Kelly Oubre Jr.	67	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	7	-22	17.0	14.8	2.24	12.4	15.5	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.22,0.34,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.34,0.15,0.28,0.06,0.16,0	93.0%
WAS 105, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	92.3%
MIA 95, BKN 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.3%