NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	95		Excitement	6.5 [517]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): +26.2%
Brooklyn Nets	83		Comeback	2.4 [196]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -16.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.18	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.04
James Ennis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Norris Cole	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Dawkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.15	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	11	92%	0.33	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	13%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	0%	-0.09
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.06	0.05	13	45%	-0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	28.3	15.6	29.2	1.7	39.0	140.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +21.7%

MIA +16.5%

MIA +21.4%

BKN -7.9%

BKN -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	18.5	15.8	15.1	111.8	100.0	104.2
season	16.0	15.3		102.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.9	18.7	15.4	22.5	18.5
BKN	17.2	14.0	16.6	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	49	51	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-6	24	17.0	20.4	-3.35	16.7	14.4	2.31
Norris Cole	48	48	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-2	16	17.9	19.2	-1.29	16.3	15.1	1.18
James Ennis	63	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	-1	14	19.3	15.9	3.44	15.2	17.5	-2.25
Shawne Williams	65	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	8	-4	18.6	18.0	0.53	15.9	15.5	0.36
Mario Chalmers	60	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	8	-4	18.8	17.6	1.22	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Danny Granger	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	9	-6	16.8	19.7	-2.92	17.5	14.5	2.97
Shabazz Napier	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	13	-14	18.7	18.3	0.32	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Chris Andersen	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	10	-8	17.5	19.0	-1.43	14.0	16.8	-2.86
Udonis Haslem	26	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	12	-12	21.9	16.9	4.94	16.0	15.7	0.22
Andre Dawkins	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	9	-6	18.7	18.4	0.28	13.9	16.2	-2.30

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	22	26	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-19	26	15.9	15.8	0.15	18.8	18.3	0.50
Jerome Jordan	15	16	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-15	18	13.0	16.4	-3.41	19.0	18.3	0.67
Mirza Teletovic	35	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-14	16	15.5	16.0	-0.49	18.8	18.2	0.53
Alan Anderson	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-8	4	14.7	16.2	-1.52	18.6	18.4	0.23
Brook Lopez	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	1	-14	16.1	15.5	0.68	17.0	19.8	-2.76
Bojan Bogdanovic	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	15.5	18.6	-3.10	18.0	22.0	-4.01
Jarrett Jack	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	14.9	16.7	-1.81	19.7	17.3	2.41
Deron Williams	59	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.6	1.65	18.6	18.0	0.64
Joe Johnson	62	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	16.5	13.8	2.66	18.4	18.5	-0.09
Kevin Garnett	44	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	3	-18	17.0	14.4	2.56	18.5	18.5	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.02,0	93.5%
CHA 91, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.22,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.7%
SAC 113, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.7%