NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	6.6 [487]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +18.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	1.9 [885]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIN): -15.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.04	0.05	15	77%	0.25	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	17	65%	0.20	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	10	73%	0.14	4	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	23%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.05	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	6	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	22	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	11	47%	-0.06	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	16	34%	-0.09	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.3	28.1	16.3	30.7	2.5	30.3	134.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +56.7%

SAC +2.8%

SAC +9.6%

MIN -22.2%

SAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.1	115.3	104.1	104.2
season	14.9	15.0		103.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.8		110.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	13.9	12.4	17.0	14.1
MIN	14.7	16.1	15.3	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.11	17	-5	22	14.5	12.0	2.52	15.7	14.3	1.34
DeMarcus Cousins	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.09	17	-5	22	13.7	16.1	-2.45	15.6	14.6	1.01
Rudy Gay	69	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-4	20	14.4	13.5	0.85	15.7	14.6	1.17
Darren Collison	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-4	20	14.4	13.5	0.82	15.6	15.1	0.53
Jason Thompson	36	37	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-2	16	13.9	14.2	-0.27	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Derrick Williams	62	60	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	14	-16	14.2	13.9	0.27	15.5	15.3	0.22
Ramon Sessions	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	16	-20	13.5	14.4	-0.82	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Omri Casspi	29	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	16	-20	13.5	14.4	-0.85	14.6	15.7	-1.17
Carl Landry	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	17	-22	16.1	13.7	2.45	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Nik Stauskas	16	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	17	-22	12.0	14.5	-2.52	14.3	15.7	-1.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	19	19	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-14	16	14.6	15.6	-1.00	15.7	13.7	1.95
Shabazz Muhammad	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-15	18	16.3	14.9	1.34	14.3	14.0	0.31
Zach LaVine	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-8	4	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.6	13.9	0.63
Andrew Wiggins	85	86	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-7	2	14.9	19.0	-4.07	14.2	13.2	0.98
Chase Budinger	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	16.1	14.7	1.46	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Mo Williams	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.41	13.9	14.6	-0.63
Corey Brewer	59	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	1	-14	15.6	15.2	0.32	14.5	13.6	0.91
Anthony Bennett	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	3	-18	14.9	16.3	-1.34	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Gorgui Dieng	78	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.13	-14	2	-16	15.6	14.6	1.00	13.7	15.7	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 104, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.4%
DEN 106, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%