NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	5.7 [678]		MVP	Darrell Arthur (DEN): +23.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.9 [108]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -8.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.08	-0.02	6	108%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	17	61%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	56%	0.09	5	-0.07	7	86%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.02	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.13	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	67%	0.14	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	18	51%	0.08	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.5	15.3	24.1	1.8	29.0	124.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.5%

CLE -3.1%

DEN +6.8%

DEN +12.0%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.1	111.6	100.0	104.2
season	14.6	15.9		103.4	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.1	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.5	16.0	13.7	16.5	14.9
CLE	16.5	14.6	15.0	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	78	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-6	21	15.0	14.6	0.34	14.7	17.1	-2.38
Arron Afflalo	79	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-3	15	15.1	14.2	0.89	14.6	18.0	-3.42
Wilson Chandler	75	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	4	1	15.1	14.2	0.86	14.5	17.2	-2.74
Kenneth Faried	42	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-1	11	14.2	15.5	-1.36	16.4	14.0	2.45
Ty Lawson	75	77	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	15.0	14.6	0.35	14.5	17.1	-2.62
Nate Robinson	20	20	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	5	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.35	17.1	14.5	2.62
Darrell Arthur	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	10	-11	15.5	14.2	1.36	14.0	16.4	-2.45
Randy Foye	20	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	8	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.48	17.6	14.5	3.12
Danilo Gallinari	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	9	-9	13.8	15.2	-1.34	17.5	14.6	2.91
JaVale McGee	17	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	15	-21	14.6	15.0	-0.34	17.1	14.7	2.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-6	3	12.5	15.3	-2.80	18.0	14.6	3.36
Shawn Marion	51	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.1	13.9	2.25	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Dion Waiters	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-11	13	14.4	16.0	-1.69	15.4	14.3	1.09
Anderson Varejao	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	16.3	14.4	1.92	15.1	14.8	0.34
Joe Harris	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-10	11	14.4	15.7	-1.34	15.1	14.8	0.32
Tristan Thompson	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.4	14.7	0.68	13.5	16.4	-2.88
Kyrie Irving	80	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	15.0	15.4	-0.41	15.0	14.7	0.27
LeBron James	82	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.20	-13	4	-17	14.9	15.9	-1.02	15.3	13.3	1.94
Kevin Love	76	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	5	-19	15.0	15.2	-0.15	15.0	14.7	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 114, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
CLE 112, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
WAS 95, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%