NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	6.3 [548]		MVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): +19.1%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	3.3 [158]		LVP	Rasual Butler (WAS): -11.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.01	12	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
John Wall	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.03	17	54%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	60%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Nene	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Martell Webster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.03	0.00	22	68%	0.21	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.8	26.2	17.5	25.0	2.8	40.0	140.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.0%

WAS +15.2%

WAS +15.4%

CHI -7.8%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.1	111.7	106.5	104.2
season	15.1	15.5		102.9	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	16.4	14.3	15.5	15.6
CHI	13.9	15.5	17.0	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	63	62	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.26	18	-12	30	14.7	17.4	-2.71	15.5	14.5	1.02
John Wall	75	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-9	24	14.9	18.6	-3.73	14.9	16.2	-1.21
Marcin Gortat	65	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	14.7	17.7	-3.06	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Nene	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-6	18	15.2	16.3	-1.04	15.4	14.8	0.63
Bradley Beal	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-1	8	15.3	16.5	-1.14	16.1	12.6	3.52
Kris Humphries	35	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	12	-18	16.3	15.2	1.04	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Kevin Seraphin	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	17.7	14.7	3.05	16.3	14.7	1.61
Rasual Butler	40	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	14	-22	16.5	15.0	1.51	14.3	15.9	-1.65
Martell Webster	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	12	-18	18.3	15.1	3.26	11.7	15.9	-4.21
Andre Miller	19	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	15	-24	18.6	14.9	3.73	16.2	14.9	1.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	31	32	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.23	11	-17	28	14.4	15.6	-1.16	17.6	14.6	2.97
Kirk Hinrich	39	36	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-11	16	14.8	15.4	-0.60	15.1	15.9	-0.85
E'Twaun Moore	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-7	8	12.3	15.3	-2.96	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Joakim Noah	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-3	0	16.6	14.7	1.87	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Nikola Mirotic	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-10	14	15.4	15.1	0.28	17.2	14.8	2.35
Taj Gibson	61	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	14.9	15.7	-0.75	16.1	14.7	1.35
Tony Snell	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	3	-12	15.8	13.9	1.91	15.7	15.5	0.21
Jimmy Butler	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	15.3	14.7	0.57	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Pau Gasol	68	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	5	-16	14.8	16.2	-1.32	14.7	18.2	-3.53
Derrick Rose	70	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.18	-18	12	-30	15.2	15.3	-0.09	15.3	16.5	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	93.4%
GSW 97, NOP 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.27,0.17,0.14,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	92.9%
HOU 114, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0	92.7%