NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	4.6 [896]		MVP	Chris Paul (SAS): +12.4%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	2.2 [475]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): -10.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	15	60%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Colby Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.08	19	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keon Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.05	19	61%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.19	0.01	0.11	22	74%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	5	90%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	25.6	14.6	29.2	2.3	27.5	123.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +58.9%

SAC -1.0%

SAS +11.5%

SAC -19.9%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.4	98.0	120.8	113.0
season	14.3	14.2		115.1	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.6		115.6	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	15.4	13.6	14.0	14.4
SAS	15.6	12.8	15.2	17.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	26	27	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.13	8	-28	36	14.0	14.5	-0.51	14.3	15.7	-1.48
Trey Lyles	52	51	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-22	24	15.1	13.6	1.45	17.1	13.3	3.83
Colby Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	15.0	14.4	0.64	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Mason Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	15.0	14.4	0.64	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Alex Len	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	15.0	14.4	0.64	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Isaac Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	15.0	14.4	0.64	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Keon Ellis	45	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-20	20	13.9	14.8	-0.90	16.5	14.4	2.07
Jordan McLaughlin	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-6	-8	16.2	13.9	2.21	12.8	15.9	-3.06
Domantas Sabonis	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-11	2	13.8	16.4	-2.63	15.5	14.9	0.60
DeMar DeRozan	76	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-9	-2	14.6	13.6	0.96	16.2	12.0	4.19
Kevin Huerter	53	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-2	-16	14.2	14.6	-0.41	14.2	16.6	-2.45
De'Aaron Fox	76	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.05	-21	1	-22	14.1	15.5	-1.45	15.3	15.4	-0.05
Keegan Murray	60	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.01	-21	1	-22	14.7	13.8	0.96	14.1	17.3	-3.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	56	59	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.01	25	-5	30	14.6	16.3	-1.76	14.5	14.2	0.33
Chris Paul	59	63	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.16	28	-8	36	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Victor Wembanyama	67	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.14	24	-4	28	15.1	15.9	-0.82	14.3	14.5	-0.19
Harrison Barnes	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	6	8	15.8	14.5	1.23	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Stephon Castle	63	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	5	10	15.4	15.2	0.12	14.5	14.2	0.25
Sandro Mamukelashvili	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	13	-6	15.9	15.1	0.87	15.8	13.8	2.01
Devin Vassell	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	23	-26	14.9	15.7	-0.81	13.5	15.1	-1.51
Sidy Cissoko	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	13.5	15.4	-1.86	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Charles Bassey	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	13.5	15.4	-1.86	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Keldon Johnson	48	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	24	-28	16.5	14.2	2.31	14.5	14.2	0.33
Zach Collins	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	26	-32	16.1	15.0	1.05	14.6	14.3	0.27
Blake Wesley	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	24	-28	14.1	15.7	-1.54	14.3	14.4	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 89, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ORL 66, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%