inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 66 Excitement3.8 [1006] MVPRik Smits (IND): +8.4%
Indiana Pacers 85 Comeback1.7 [846] LVPRony Seikaly (ORL): -12.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.001150%0.0300.002100%0.01
Brian Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nick Anderson-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.011257%0.031-0.03450%-0.01
Gerald Wilkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03325%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Dan Schayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02430%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Derek Strong-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02944%-0.051-0.00967%-0.01
Derek Harper-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.140.00-0.08617%-0.014-0.0400%0.00
Mark Price-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00633%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.100,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.01337%-0.033-0.07250%-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway-0.110,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.010.00617%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Rony Seikaly-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.010.01543%-0.034-0.104100%0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rik Smits0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.001262%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Chris Mullin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.031060%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.011553%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.010.04760%0.0100.001100%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.05220%0.011-0.001100%0.01
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Derrick McKey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.00850%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.03911%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01729%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.000.011150%-0.024-0.0720%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.723.515.021.91.422.6108.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +31.9%
ORL -6.2%
IND +11.5%
IND +9.4%
IND +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLINDNBAORLINDNBA
this game16.516.415.675.996.6102.5
season16.716.0100.3105.3
opponent16.115.699.2101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.215.418.615.916.5
IND17.315.315.717.516.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Wilkins2122-0.02-0.480.450.04-2-171515.916.7-0.7517.516.11.47
Brian Evans2325-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-161315.916.7-0.8217.915.92.06
Anfernee Hardaway1920-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-171516.716.40.2717.416.11.30
Derek Strong4142-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-14915.517.3-1.7716.416.5-0.03
Dan Schayes2829-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-12515.417.0-1.5417.116.10.93
Mark Price3937-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-10-9-117.116.01.1015.317.3-1.93
Bo Outlaw5353-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-9-116.616.20.3916.316.7-0.36
Rony Seikaly5454-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-9-116.716.00.7116.416.6-0.24
Derek Harper4546-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-5-915.817.2-1.3916.316.6-0.34
Nick Anderson5858-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.00-14-5-917.115.21.9016.216.9-0.64
Horace Grant5454-0.49-0.01-0.470.04-18-1-1717.115.41.7816.017.2-1.19

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mullin50500.490.010.48-0.041811715.817.3-1.4917.115.61.43
Reggie Miller53520.420.080.330.01145916.216.9-0.6916.915.90.98
Rik Smits41410.360.140.220.04118315.617.2-1.5616.816.20.58
Dale Davis40400.330.170.170.04109115.816.9-1.0917.016.00.98
Mark Jackson39390.290.210.07-0.01109116.216.6-0.3817.315.81.42
Derrick McKey48470.170.33-0.17-0.10910-116.915.81.0916.017.0-0.98
Antonio Davis39390.140.36-0.22-0.09811-317.715.42.2417.116.01.14
Travis Best41400.120.38-0.26-0.14910-117.215.81.4116.916.10.89
Jalen Rose41400.100.40-0.300.01316-1316.916.00.9115.317.5-2.17
Fred Hoiberg35350.080.42-0.33-0.06514-916.916.20.6915.916.9-0.98
Mark West870.000.50-0.500.00019-1914.616.6-2.0011.116.9-5.79
Austin Croshere550.000.50-0.500.06-221-2314.416.6-2.179.816.9-7.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 98, MIL 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
HOU 91, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
BKN 99, CHA 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%