NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	9.8 [89]		MVP	Tari Eason (HOU): +21.9%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	2.1 [620]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -57.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tari Eason	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	12	67%	0.27	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	17	66%	0.24	1	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Reed Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	15	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	17	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	13	25%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	9	80%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	21	54%	0.22	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	-0.02	5	60%	0.11	2	-0.16	5	40%	-0.29
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.38,-0.47,-0.57	-0.57	-0.22	-0.34	0.01	15	27%	-0.26	6	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.3	14.7	30.8	1.8	39.6	140.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -30.6%

HOU +4.8%

HOU +32.7%

HOU +38.7%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.4	105.2	103.1	113.1
season	14.7	14.1		114.2	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.2	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	14.3	14.0	17.5	15.5
DET	15.5	14.5	13.7	14.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	66	66	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.46	14	-12	26	15.7	14.9	0.86	14.7	14.3	0.35
Tari Eason	54	54	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.52	7	-5	12	15.1	15.9	-0.79	14.6	14.5	0.07
Alperen Sengun	60	59	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-9	20	16.1	14.4	1.71	15.0	13.8	1.19
Fred VanVleet	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-6	14	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.8	13.7	1.11
Amen Thompson	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	1	0	13.7	17.4	-3.71	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Jalen Green	67	70	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	9	-16	15.8	14.7	1.15	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Reed Sheppard	25	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	13.8	16.0	-2.19	13.8	14.8	-1.06
Jock Landale	33	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	8	-14	14.6	15.9	-1.30	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Jabari Smith Jr.	52	50	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.13	-12	14	-26	16.7	13.9	2.82	15.0	14.1	0.87

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	58	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-10	18	13.9	15.5	-1.63	14.0	17.7	-3.68
Paul Reed	25	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	3	-8	15.2	14.3	0.89	16.9	14.9	1.99
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-3	4	15.0	13.9	1.12	17.2	13.1	4.16
Tobias Harris	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-5	8	14.6	14.4	0.23	16.6	13.0	3.53
Ronald Holland II	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	3	-8	14.4	14.6	-0.23	13.0	16.6	-3.53
Simone Fontecchio	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	3	-8	14.1	14.8	-0.72	12.9	17.1	-4.20
Jaden Ivey	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	1	-4	14.9	13.8	1.07	15.9	14.4	1.54
Isaiah Stewart	70	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-4	6	14.4	15.0	-0.68	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Cade Cunningham	71	72	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.49	-6	4	-10	14.6	14.4	0.14	16.0	13.9	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	91.4%
CHA 93, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.04,0	91.0%
PHX 94, NOP 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.4,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.55,0.17,0	90.4%