NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	7.4 [302]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +37.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	1.8 [421]		LVP	Sam Young (MEM): -25.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37	0.11	0.24	-0.01	26	56%	0.39	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	12	69%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.01	7	72%	0.19	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Derrick Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	12	35%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	8	72%	0.30	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	14	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	67%	0.27	4	-0.21	6	67%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	13	50%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	4	30%	-0.12	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.4	30.3	15.8	26.0	2.6	34.4	136.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.4%

MEM -15.5%

MEM -9.1%

CHA +34.0%

CHA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	17.4	14.5	15.3	103.3	97.8	106.0
season	16.2	15.4		103.0	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	16.3	16.3	20.5	17.4
MEM	13.2	15.0	15.0	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	63	63	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-10	24	17.0	18.4	-1.42	15.2	12.7	2.47
Stephen Jackson	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-3	10	17.5	15.4	2.11	14.6	13.4	1.19
Gerald Wallace	85	86	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.39	2	2	0	17.4	16.8	0.61	14.6	11.8	2.82
Tyrus Thomas	40	42	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	3	-2	18.1	16.8	1.39	13.3	15.4	-2.10
Boris Diaw	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	5	-6	17.6	16.4	1.21	14.4	14.6	-0.13
Theo Ratliff	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-5	14	16.2	19.4	-3.14	15.0	13.6	1.35
Derrick Brown	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	5	-6	20.3	17.1	3.15	17.3	14.2	3.06
Stephen Graham	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	5	-6	16.0	17.6	-1.59	12.8	14.7	-1.97
D.J. Augustin	27	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.00	-10	14	-24	18.4	17.0	1.42	12.7	15.2	-2.47

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-9	14	12.1	14.9	-2.78	17.8	17.3	0.46
Sam Young	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-6	8	15.2	14.0	1.23	18.2	16.8	1.47
Darrell Arthur	33	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-3	2	14.0	14.7	-0.77	17.5	17.3	0.21
Marcus Williams	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-2	0	12.8	15.5	-2.65	17.4	17.3	0.11
O.J. Mayo	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-2	0	14.2	15.1	-0.84	17.1	18.2	-1.13
Mike Conley	56	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-2	0	15.5	12.8	2.65	17.3	17.4	-0.11
Marc Gasol	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	3	-10	15.4	12.8	2.54	17.0	18.0	-1.00
Rudy Gay	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	4	-12	14.3	15.4	-1.06	17.3	17.8	-0.55
Zach Randolph	77	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	1	-6	14.4	14.9	-0.47	17.4	17.1	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.39,0.05,0,0	92.0%
MIN 89, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.05,0	91.3%
DET 95, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.02,0	90.8%