NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	8.6 [192]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +47.2%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	2.4 [722]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -14.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.39,0.47	0.21	0.25	-0.01	22	73%	0.53	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.39	0.15	0.24	-0.01	13	70%	0.39	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Semi Ojeleye	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Jaylen Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.07	0.26	-0.00	7	76%	0.38	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	10	76%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.02	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	90%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Cavanaugh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	10	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.14	0.00	14	63%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.01	20	55%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	7	31%	0.04	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	27.5	15.3	25.5	2.4	32.5	133.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.7%

BOS +2.4%

BOS +18.2%

ATL -0.2%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.1	14.7	115.8	111.5	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.4	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	15.7	17.8	16.7	16.1
ATL	12.7	14.3	15.8	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	58	58	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.60	12	-9	21	15.8	16.5	-0.64	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Jayson Tatum	62	64	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.43	15	-12	27	16.0	16.2	-0.13	14.8	12.6	2.22
Al Horford	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-7	17	15.8	16.8	-1.03	14.8	12.6	2.20
Kyrie Irving	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	-2	7	16.2	15.6	0.64	14.7	12.2	2.54
Daniel Theis	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	5	-7	16.4	16.0	0.46	13.2	14.4	-1.16
Terry Rozier	44	46	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.42	-12	15	-27	16.0	16.1	-0.09	12.1	15.9	-3.77
Abdel Nader	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	15.3	16.2	-0.91	8.9	14.8	-5.89
Shane Larkin	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	4	-5	15.6	16.2	-0.59	15.5	13.8	1.70
Semi Ojeleye	31	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	16.5	15.9	0.67	14.0	14.1	-0.06
Jaylen Brown	59	60	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.09	-2	5	-7	16.7	15.1	1.54	14.8	12.8	1.98
Aron Baynes	30	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	9	-15	15.7	16.3	-0.58	14.0	14.1	-0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	52	51	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-6	9	13.3	15.0	-1.67	17.1	14.9	2.25
Tyler Cavanaugh	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	3.0	14.2	-11.19	0.0	16.1	-16.09
Isaiah Taylor	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-2	1	14.1	14.1	0.00	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Dewayne Dedmon	72	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-7	11	13.5	15.8	-2.29	16.1	16.0	0.12
Taurean Prince	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	3	-9	14.0	14.2	-0.14	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Dennis Schroder	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-10	17	14.5	12.9	1.58	16.2	15.9	0.29
John Collins	31	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	3	-9	14.9	13.7	1.27	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Kent Bazemore	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	2	-7	13.6	14.7	-1.13	16.3	15.9	0.38
Malcolm Delaney	57	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	13.6	14.7	-1.09	15.8	16.5	-0.79
Luke Babbitt	47	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	16.0	12.2	3.78	16.0	16.1	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.42,0	91.8%
DET 97, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.41,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.27,0	91.1%
CLE 88, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.26,0	90.4%