NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	6.2 [600]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +15.1%
Brooklyn Nets	92		Comeback	3.1 [307]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -9.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.00	13	67%	0.19	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	9	74%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	15	55%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.00	-0.08	0	100%	0.02	1	0.06	2	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	41%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	13	66%	0.19	7	-0.16	3	67%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	93%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Wendell Moore Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	15	41%	0.01	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	19	59%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	1	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	82%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shake Milton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.04	-0.04	4	40%	0.09	3	-0.09	12	33%	-0.08
Cam Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	17	45%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.0	34.2	15.4	25.6	2.6	34.0	141.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.1%

BKN -1.4%

DET +23.8%

BKN -3.7%

DET +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	14.4	112.8	98.9	113.0
season	14.1	15.3		113.7	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.3	13.5	14.3	17.6	15.1
BKN	15.3	15.3	17.0	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	59	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-4	22	15.3	14.8	0.44	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Simone Fontecchio	44	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	4	6	16.2	14.2	1.98	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Jaden Ivey	72	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	4	6	14.5	17.0	-2.47	15.5	16.3	-0.86
Isaiah Stewart	25	25	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	5	4	16.4	14.7	1.71	15.8	15.7	0.08
Tobias Harris	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	2	10	14.6	16.6	-2.03	15.9	15.2	0.68
Cade Cunningham	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	3	8	14.4	17.0	-2.58	16.9	12.6	4.29
Jalen Duren	66	66	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	9	-4	14.9	15.7	-0.81	15.7	15.8	-0.16
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	16	-18	15.5	14.8	0.67	16.8	14.7	2.04
Wendell Moore Jr.	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	17.5	15.1	2.45	9.5	15.8	-6.34
Marcus Sasser	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	17.5	15.1	2.45	9.5	15.8	-6.34
Ronald Holland II	20	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	21	-28	16.6	14.7	1.90	13.3	16.4	-3.12

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	10.2	15.9	-5.69	17.0	15.0	1.96
Tyrese Martin	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	10.2	15.9	-5.69	17.0	15.0	1.96
Jalen Wilson	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-18	22	16.1	15.4	0.70	16.3	14.2	2.10
Keon Johnson	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-15	16	16.3	15.5	0.80	17.4	14.4	3.08
Ben Simmons	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-11	8	16.4	15.0	1.38	15.2	15.0	0.26
Cameron Johnson	59	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-9	4	15.6	15.9	-0.34	14.2	16.8	-2.68
Dorian Finney-Smith	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-6	-2	16.0	15.2	0.75	14.1	16.6	-2.54
Noah Clowney	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-10	6	15.0	16.0	-1.05	16.0	14.7	1.29
Dennis Schroder	66	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	15.7	15.8	-0.16	14.5	16.8	-2.26
Nic Claxton	42	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.45	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Cam Thomas	61	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	5	-24	16.0	15.1	0.92	14.5	16.4	-1.86
Ziaire Williams	29	29	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	0	-14	15.3	15.9	-0.61	17.2	14.2	2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
SAC 96, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
IND 96, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	93.2%