NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	5.2 [758]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +16.0%
Toronto Raptors	81		Comeback	3.5 [151]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -14.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.02	17	71%	0.24	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	7	0%	-0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	16	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	10	46%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.2	29.5	17.3	22.4	2.4	27.3	123.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +8.7%

SAC +9.1%

SAC +20.7%

SAC +16.1%

TOR -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	18.6	15.7	109.1	94.2	100.5
season	14.7	16.8		106.9	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	15.5	14.0	15.3	14.5
TOR	17.9	18.0	21.3	17.4	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	68	69	0.80	-0.30	1.10	-0.11	31	-16	47	13.9	16.7	-2.79	19.3	15.8	3.54
Peja Stojakovic	76	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-11	37	14.1	17.5	-3.42	18.8	17.5	1.32
Mike Bibby	74	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.10	24	-9	33	14.2	16.5	-2.32	18.9	16.8	2.06
Vlade Divac	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.05	22	-7	29	14.4	15.2	-0.85	18.7	18.3	0.41
Anthony Peeler	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	7	1	14.4	14.6	-0.22	18.8	18.4	0.41
Doug Christie	60	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	18	-21	14.8	14.0	0.80	18.1	19.5	-1.38
Tony Massenburg	19	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	22	-29	15.2	14.4	0.85	18.3	18.7	-0.41
Gerald Wallace	16	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	25	-35	17.8	13.8	3.99	17.5	18.8	-1.30
Jabari Smith	20	17	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.17	-16	31	-47	16.7	13.9	2.79	15.8	19.3	-3.54

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	30	30	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-21	27	18.7	18.6	0.10	15.3	14.2	1.09
Roger Mason Jr.	33	34	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-22	29	17.8	19.1	-1.23	14.0	14.9	-0.84
Lonny Baxter	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	11.8	19.1	-7.28	18.2	14.3	3.89
Robert Archibald	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	11.8	19.1	-7.28	18.2	14.3	3.89
Michael Bradley	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-13	11	20.3	18.4	1.93	11.1	15.0	-3.89
Donyell Marshall	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-1	-13	18.8	18.2	0.53	14.7	14.2	0.45
Michael Curry	34	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	18.9	18.4	0.41	15.7	13.8	1.89
Alvin Williams	59	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-1	-13	19.0	17.7	1.37	14.6	14.4	0.23
Milt Palacio	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-1	-13	18.4	19.1	-0.66	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Morris Peterson	69	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	-6	-3	18.6	18.5	0.17	14.3	15.7	-1.47
Chris Bosh	63	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	0.11	-28	13	-41	19.5	16.3	3.20	13.9	16.3	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, POR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
ORL 101, SEA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
PHI 117, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.7%