NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	132		Excitement	8.4 [229]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +59.0%
Indiana Pacers	135		Comeback	3.4 [262]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -32.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.42	0.22	0.29	0.09	9	115%	0.46	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.12	0.01	14	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Jayson Tatum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	25	57%	0.09	3	-0.04	15	80%	-0.02
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jordan Walsh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	2	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	40%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.33	-0.12	-0.18	0.03	30	39%	-0.22	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.10

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.59	0.59	0.14	0.42	-0.04	20	66%	0.60	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.09
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.02	17	67%	0.22	4	-0.06	11	91%	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	19	44%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.08	-0.03	11	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.14	0.03	15	53%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.6	2.7	29.2	14.7	28.5	2.8	30.5	2.3	17.3	156.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +53.2%

BOS -18.2%

BOS -4.3%

IND +9.0%

IND +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	12.8	14.4	111.9	113.4	113.1
season	15.2	13.8		118.8	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.9	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.1	16.0	13.6	12.1	14.9	14.0
IND	9.9	11.7	13.5	15.6	15.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Neemias Queta	28	28	0.27	-0.71	0.98	-0.26	18	-21	39	11.6	14.8	-3.15	17.4	11.5	5.96
Xavier Tillman	16	16	-0.07	-0.37	0.31	-0.12	2	-5	7	11.2	14.5	-3.23	15.8	12.4	3.39
Jordan Walsh	17	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-9	15	13.5	14.1	-0.60	15.3	12.4	2.82
Sam Hauser	32	33	-0.13	-0.31	0.17	-0.49	12	-15	27	14.0	14.1	-0.10	11.3	13.5	-2.15
Luke Kornet	38	39	-0.17	-0.27	0.10	-0.08	-3	0	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.53	10.7	13.9	-3.19
Payton Pritchard	86	86	-0.21	-0.23	0.02	-0.44	8	-11	19	13.5	15.5	-2.04	13.2	12.1	1.08
Derrick White	80	82	-0.25	-0.19	-0.07	-0.05	-7	4	-11	15.2	11.5	3.71	12.5	13.8	-1.29
Al Horford	43	41	-0.25	-0.18	-0.07	0.10	-12	9	-21	16.4	12.7	3.67	11.9	13.4	-1.54
Jayson Tatum	98	99	-0.37	-0.07	-0.30	-0.16	-7	4	-11	13.8	15.4	-1.69	12.7	13.9	-1.27
Jrue Holiday	58	57	-0.44	-0.00	-0.43	0.12	-19	16	-35	13.9	14.2	-0.29	12.1	13.6	-1.50
Jaylen Brown	94	94	-0.47	0.04	-0.51	-0.09	-13	10	-23	14.3	13.0	1.31	13.3	11.3	1.94

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	95	94	0.46	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	12.9	12.2	0.74	13.9	14.5	-0.52
Isaiah Jackson	52	55	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-5	13	12.9	12.7	0.12	15.3	12.9	2.37
Ben Sheppard	48	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	6	-9	13.3	12.5	0.86	12.9	14.8	-1.89
Aaron Nesmith	66	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-7	17	11.8	14.1	-2.34	15.1	12.6	2.54
Pascal Siakam	86	83	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-2	7	12.6	13.2	-0.57	14.8	12.3	2.50
Tyrese Haliburton	87	89	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	-6	15	13.5	10.8	2.72	13.5	15.6	-2.05
T.J. McConnell	50	47	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	10	-17	12.0	13.4	-1.38	15.2	13.3	1.91
Obi Toppin	78	75	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.50	-12	15	-27	12.9	12.5	0.44	12.7	16.3	-3.63
Jarace Walker	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	13.5	12.7	0.82	11.1	14.7	-3.53
Andrew Nembhard	12	12	0.04	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	0	3	12.0	12.9	-0.89	14.8	14.0	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.92,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	90.8%
MEM 89, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.91,1	90.8%
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	90.8%