NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	120		Excitement	7.0 [81]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +49.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	2.7 [46]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -10.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.51,0.5	0.22	0.23	-0.04	23	69%	0.52	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.00	13	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	90%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	27	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	67%	0.15	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	78%	0.14	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.16	-0.11	0.05	20	71%	0.16	5	-0.16	12	50%	-0.10
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	26.5	16.4	30.1	2.5	37.5	143.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +11.0%

DAL +3.6%

DAL +4.1%

DAL +30.6%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	14.4	122.4	117.5	112.0
season	13.8	14.6		115.2	113.5
opponent	14.4	15.0		110.3	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.1	14.2	12.5	18.1	14.7
MIN	15.3	14.0	16.3	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	14.6	15.1	-0.54	14.5	16.4	-1.80
Dereck Lively II	53	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	3	0	15.8	13.4	2.35	14.9	14.8	0.12
Luka Doncic	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	14.9	13.5	1.46	15.3	12.8	2.46
Spencer Dinwiddie	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-2	10	14.8	14.6	0.18	14.9	14.8	0.12
Naji Marshall	37	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	1	4	13.4	15.4	-2.04	13.8	15.5	-1.62
P.J. Washington	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	3	0	15.1	13.9	1.14	15.1	14.4	0.76
Klay Thompson	60	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	5	-4	15.2	13.8	1.49	15.1	14.6	0.46
Quentin Grimes	25	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	7	-8	13.1	15.2	-2.09	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Daniel Gafford	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	5	-4	13.8	15.3	-1.49	15.2	14.5	0.70
Jaden Hardy	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	3	0	13.4	14.8	-1.42	13.2	15.1	-1.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	45	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-6	6	15.2	14.6	0.54	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Donte DiVincenzo	53	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-11	16	14.8	15.0	-0.16	15.5	13.7	1.84
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-10	14	13.6	16.1	-2.49	15.3	14.0	1.32
Joe Ingles	7	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	1	-8	18.0	14.6	3.38	13.9	14.7	-0.87
Julius Randle	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	15.1	14.4	0.72	15.3	13.1	2.28
Jaden McDaniels	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	0	-6	15.1	14.2	0.92	14.9	14.2	0.71
Rudy Gobert	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	2	-10	14.9	14.9	-0.02	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Naz Reid	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	0	-6	14.6	15.2	-0.57	13.6	16.0	-2.36
Anthony Edwards	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.0	14.4	0.65	14.6	14.9	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.16,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	92.4%
MEM 98, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	91.5%
BKN 104, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.09,0	91.5%