NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	8.5 [215]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +31.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	2.7 [100]		LVP	Avery Bradley (LAL): -8.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.02	20	50%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	13	48%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Chiozza	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	17	55%	0.26	4	-0.17	8	100%	0.04
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	2	83%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
DeAndre Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Taurean Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.20	0.01	19	60%	0.34	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.03
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.13	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	22	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.09
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.02	11	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	26.6	14.6	27.4	2.4	36.3	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +16.9%

BKN +15.0%

BKN +9.8%

BKN +4.1%

BKN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	LAL	NBA	BKN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	14.2	108.3	105.2	109.6
season	14.1	14.2		108.0	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.1		106.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.3	13.8	15.7	18.3	15.6
LAL	12.3	13.8	15.7	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	56	55	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-4	10	14.7	17.0	-2.30	14.9	13.2	1.71
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-5	12	15.3	16.0	-0.63	15.1	13.2	1.93
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	5	-8	16.7	13.8	2.89	13.7	15.0	-1.25
DeAndre Jordan	54	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	3	-4	16.3	14.8	1.43	13.5	15.1	-1.66
Jarrett Allen	42	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	0	2	14.8	16.3	-1.43	15.1	13.5	1.66
Joe Harris	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	1	0	16.6	14.3	2.34	13.7	14.8	-1.14
Caris LeVert	75	77	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	7	-12	15.5	16.0	-0.53	13.9	15.3	-1.47
Chris Chiozza	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-3	8	14.1	16.5	-2.35	15.3	13.5	1.77
Wilson Chandler	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	4	-6	15.8	15.4	0.41	13.3	15.3	-2.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	0	-2	14.3	14.1	0.14	13.4	16.7	-3.27
Rajon Rondo	33	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-2	2	14.0	14.3	-0.28	14.3	16.4	-2.08
LeBron James	70	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-10	18	13.9	14.8	-0.87	16.7	13.1	3.62
Kyle Kuzma	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-1	0	13.4	15.0	-1.61	14.2	17.1	-2.84
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-9	16	13.6	14.8	-1.21	15.8	15.4	0.36
JaVale McGee	32	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	5	-12	14.9	13.8	1.03	16.3	15.3	1.02
Avery Bradley	62	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-5	8	13.9	14.6	-0.69	16.7	13.8	2.89
Alex Caruso	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	9	-20	15.1	13.8	1.33	15.7	15.6	0.04
Danny Green	57	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	0	-2	14.8	13.3	1.51	16.1	15.0	1.11
Anthony Davis	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	3	-8	14.5	13.3	1.13	15.5	16.1	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, CHH 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	93.1%
NYK 89, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	93.0%
DAL 106, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.02,0,0.03,0.11,0,0.01,0	92.9%