NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	6.5 [544]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +19.6%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	2.0 [325]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -13.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	10	76%	0.17	2	-0.07	13	85%	0.07
Raef LaFrentz	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	9	90%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	89%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	15	39%	0.01	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.01	16	70%	0.22	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.10	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.11	0.03	13	58%	-0.04	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	33.4	17.4	28.5	2.4	35.5	143.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.3%

TOR -3.5%

BOS +6.6%

TOR -2.9%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.5	107.3	105.4	104.0
season	14.4	15.1		104.7	104.8
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	15.5	13.7	14.5	14.3
TOR	15.2	16.5	17.6	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	74	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-8	21	14.1	14.8	-0.67	16.4	15.5	0.86
Antoine Walker	71	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	-2	9	14.4	14.0	0.46	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Ricky Davis	67	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	5	-5	14.1	14.8	-0.70	16.7	15.1	1.55
Paul Pierce	79	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	1	3	13.9	16.2	-2.35	16.3	15.7	0.61
Raef LaFrentz	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	3	-1	14.5	13.9	0.61	16.2	16.2	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	8	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-1	7	16.2	14.1	2.12	16.9	16.1	0.73
Tony Allen	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	3	-1	14.9	13.9	1.00	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Mark Blount	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	7	-9	14.0	14.5	-0.50	16.4	16.1	0.36
Delonte West	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	3	-1	16.1	14.1	1.99	17.0	16.1	0.88
Al Jefferson	16	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	10	-15	14.9	14.2	0.69	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Marcus Banks	25	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	9	-13	13.7	14.5	-0.84	15.1	16.6	-1.51

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-7	9	15.3	16.3	-1.01	12.3	14.5	-2.17
Pape Sow	50	53	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-16	27	15.3	17.3	-2.00	15.3	13.0	2.32
Rafael Araujo	16	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	17.6	15.9	1.64	16.1	14.0	2.09
Omar Cook	29	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.0	16.3	-0.25	14.9	14.0	0.89
Milt Palacio	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	0	-5	16.5	16.1	0.42	15.5	14.0	1.50
Morris Peterson	82	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.39	2	-7	9	16.3	15.8	0.44	14.0	16.7	-2.68
Rafer Alston	65	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	0	-5	16.1	16.5	-0.42	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Matt Bonner	27	27	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	7	-19	17.1	15.8	1.28	11.7	15.3	-3.56
Jalen Rose	80	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	0	-5	16.2	16.1	0.15	14.3	14.0	0.35
Chris Bosh	83	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	16.3	15.3	1.01	14.5	12.3	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.02,0	93.6%
ATL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	93.6%
SAC 113, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	93.5%