NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	5.9 [495]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +21.6%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.9 [421]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -18.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.10	-0.04	23	54%	0.22	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Jeff Teague	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	13	60%	0.10	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	17	64%	0.20	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	8	74%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	14	29%	-0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	28.2	16.5	22.3	2.6	31.6	127.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.5%

SAC -13.1%

ATL +15.0%

SAC -1.3%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.6	110.4	103.1	102.8
season	15.7	14.9		102.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.9		107.9	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	18.3	15.2	14.7	15.5
SAC	13.9	15.1	17.5	12.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-8	23	15.3	16.5	-1.24	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Josh Smith	80	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-2	11	15.4	16.1	-0.65	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Marvin Williams	48	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	15.4	15.7	-0.33	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Kirk Hinrich	88	87	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	15.1	20.4	-5.30	14.3	15.9	-1.56
Joe Johnson	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	15.2	16.5	-1.28	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Vladimir Radmanovic	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	5	-3	16.3	15.1	1.23	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Zaza Pachulia	57	59	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	9	-11	16.1	14.7	1.40	15.1	13.5	1.57
Erick Dampier	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	6	-5	18.0	15.2	2.80	16.5	14.2	2.26
Jannero Pargo	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	16.3	15.4	0.91	14.8	14.4	0.34

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	46	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-15	23	13.2	15.7	-2.55	17.0	14.2	2.84
Jason Thompson	37	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-4	1	16.0	13.5	2.43	13.6	16.7	-3.14
Francisco Garcia	51	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-12	17	13.3	15.8	-2.53	16.8	14.0	2.77
Charles Hayes	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-5	3	13.4	14.9	-1.44	16.4	15.2	1.18
John Salmons	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-7	7	13.1	15.5	-2.40	16.9	14.5	2.45
DeMarcus Cousins	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	14.6	14.1	0.53	15.7	14.9	0.86
Donte Greene	30	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	0	-7	15.4	14.0	1.39	17.6	14.5	3.14
Tyreke Evans	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	3	-13	15.6	12.1	3.46	14.4	17.9	-3.47
Isaiah Thomas	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	7	-21	15.8	13.2	2.58	14.2	16.8	-2.56
Marcus Thornton	64	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.1	15.2	-1.02	14.1	18.3	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 108, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.7%
TOR 100, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%