inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 127 Excitement9.0 [50] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +33.1%
Toronto Raptors 125 Comeback211.8 [3] LVPRJ Barrett (TOR): -14.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.330,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.330.210.150.032771%0.403-0.07250%-0.02
Jamal Murray0.240,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24-0.040.290.012038%0.2400.005100%0.04
Julian Strawther0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.003112%0.111-0.04250%-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.011252%0.061-0.0210%-0.02
Aaron Gordon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.01867%0.185-0.14875%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01750%0.062-0.07475%0.00
Christian Braun-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.020.08-0.040.051165%0.001-0.024100%0.03
Peyton Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00543%-0.021-0.024100%0.02
Dario Saric-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0130%-0.052-0.0300%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.120.120.060.05-0.011352%0.1200.003100%0.03
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.060.060.020.050.001067%0.174-0.11475%-0.02
Jonathan Mogbo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.01275%0.071-0.034100%0.02
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.030.030.000.040.011357%0.113-0.082100%0.01
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.06-0.001950%0.114-0.09450%-0.02
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.010.010.07-0.06-0.001258%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.01-0.03633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00850%0.001-0.0300%0.00
D.J. Carton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.14-0.012148%-0.132-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.71.727.715.229.51.840.02.410.4154.4
league avg25.82.328.014.928.42.332.32.315.5135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +50.1%
DEN +6.3%
TOR -5.6%
TOR -7.4%
DEN +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game13.914.414.4113.4110.6112.0
season13.714.1115.0111.1
opponent14.714.8114.4113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.213.513.313.317.013.9
TOR14.013.716.713.913.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon76770.21-0.210.43-0.059-91813.513.8-0.2315.312.03.29
Christian Braun73740.21-0.210.410.036-61213.513.9-0.4714.614.30.26
Nikola Jokic80810.14-0.140.29-0.067-71413.513.8-0.2215.012.62.36
Jamal Murray71730.14-0.140.28-0.036-61213.912.90.9514.813.61.22
Russell Westbrook3939-0.070.07-0.14-0.04-11-212.814.1-1.3014.314.6-0.26
Julian Strawther4951-0.070.07-0.14-0.101-1212.614.5-1.9814.514.5-0.05
Peyton Watson3635-0.170.17-0.350.03-77-1413.213.8-0.6213.814.8-1.01
Dario Saric1212-0.170.17-0.350.09-99-1815.513.32.168.815.2-6.41
Michael Porter Jr.7473-0.220.22-0.440.13-1212-2414.611.13.4814.015.7-1.75

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gradey Dick64660.22-0.220.440.28-22-415.113.51.6213.913.10.80
Scottie Barnes77750.19-0.190.370.24-22-414.813.71.1313.912.81.07
Jamison Battle27270.14-0.640.770.053-5814.914.20.6412.414.4-1.92
Chris Boucher29290.11-0.110.220.023-3613.414.9-1.5512.913.9-0.93
Jakob Poeltl72730.08-0.080.150.051-1214.913.61.3114.012.61.41
Davion Mitchell62620.06-0.060.11-0.002-2415.013.71.3514.512.32.18
Jamal Shead4341-0.010.01-0.02-0.0100013.515.2-1.7312.314.4-2.10
D.J. Carton65-0.040.04-0.080.05-33-619.014.24.7812.813.6-0.84
Ochai Agbaji5151-0.210.21-0.42-0.12-33-614.514.50.0313.014.2-1.20
RJ Barrett5250-0.230.23-0.47-0.20-11-214.114.9-0.8114.113.10.95
Jonathan Mogbo3231-0.290.29-0.59-0.352-2412.515.4-2.8913.313.7-0.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.46,0.31,0.06,0.14,0.13,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 111, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.02,091.0%
PHI 136, ATL 1310.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.95,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.02,090.8%
ATL 107, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.03,0,090.2%