NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	136		Excitement	10.3 [63]		MVP	Jaden Springer (PHI): +36.9%
Atlanta Hawks	131		Comeback	37.5 [23]		LVP	Shake Milton (PHI): -26.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Springer	0.37	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37	0.08	0.30	0.01	13	68%	0.42	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Georges Niang	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.31	0.15	0.16	0.01	13	89%	0.45	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	11	69%	0.29	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Paul Reed	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	6	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.02	17	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Montrezl Harrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05
Mac McClung	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	22	33%	-0.13	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.01	11	68%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	11	61%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.08	0.02	12	70%	0.29	2	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	14	64%	0.46	9	-0.33	14	86%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	8	62%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	69%	0.11	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.14
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	16	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	27.4	15.3	28.3	1.8	34.0	2.4	15.5	152.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -29.8%

PHI +15.0%

PHI +35.9%

PHI +27.0%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	12.1	14.4	112.4	109.2	113.4
season	15.2	13.8		115.9	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.9	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.4	15.4	12.6	12.9	15.9	14.2
ATL	11.3	11.3	12.7	14.3	9.9	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen McDaniels	99	98	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.37	15	-10	25	14.0	15.2	-1.15	12.0	12.7	-0.66
Paul Reed	58	58	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-11	27	13.4	15.0	-1.65	12.6	11.7	0.86
Shake Milton	96	95	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	14.1	15.0	-0.91	12.6	10.4	2.15
Jaden Springer	78	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	14.4	13.9	0.59	11.9	12.5	-0.58
Danuel House Jr.	83	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	14.4	13.9	0.50	12.3	11.9	0.36
Georges Niang	72	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	4	-3	14.1	14.4	-0.28	12.6	11.4	1.17
Furkan Korkmaz	37	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	9	-13	14.2	14.3	-0.07	12.4	12.0	0.32
Dewayne Dedmon	31	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	14	-23	14.9	14.0	0.89	12.0	12.2	-0.24
Montrezl Harrell	31	29	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.15	-4	9	-13	15.6	13.8	1.85	11.0	12.5	-1.46
Mac McClung	20	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	16	-27	14.5	14.2	0.37	9.4	12.7	-3.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	49	48	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.04	8	-13	21	11.6	12.5	-0.96	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Saddiq Bey	52	51	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-10	15	11.8	12.4	-0.56	14.1	14.3	-0.24
Jalen Johnson	48	46	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-11	17	11.6	12.5	-0.83	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Bogdan Bogdanovic	43	44	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-14	23	10.7	12.9	-2.25	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Aaron Holiday	8	9	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-6	7	17.2	11.8	5.47	12.6	14.4	-1.82
Trae Young	97	99	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-15	25	11.8	13.6	-1.81	14.3	14.2	0.07
De'Andre Hunter	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	4	-13	12.9	11.4	1.45	14.1	14.4	-0.28
John Collins	71	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.36	-14	9	-23	12.5	11.6	0.96	14.6	13.7	0.99
Clint Capela	71	73	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.44	-13	8	-21	12.5	11.6	0.96	14.5	13.8	0.71
Dejounte Murray	89	90	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.24	-23	18	-41	12.7	10.6	2.10	14.3	14.0	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.95,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.03,0,0	90.0%
GSW 110, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.16,0.15,0	90.0%
PHI 111, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	89.7%