inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 108 Excitement5.9 [207] MVPPayton Pritchard (BOS): +31.7%
Boston Celtics 119 Comeback1.6 [297] LVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -10.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0.160,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.230.000.071569%0.191-0.041894%0.05
Pat Connaughton0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.001125%0.0800.002100%0.02
Gary Trent Jr.0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.01856%0.0500.002100%0.01
Brook Lopez0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.021442%0.0300.003100%0.02
Andre Jackson Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.0110.0000%0.00
AJ Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Rollins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
MarJon Beauchamp0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Delon Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Taurean Prince-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00437%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Bobby Portis-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.02633%-0.014-0.0800%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.010.022652%0.057-0.16633%-0.04

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Payton Pritchard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.260.04-0.0214100%0.352-0.0300%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.160.030.051278%0.161-0.023100%0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.015100%0.1200.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.050.001958%0.204-0.091471%0.02
Derrick White0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.021350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jordan Walsh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Baylor Scheierman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Kornet00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaden Springer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Drew Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Neemias Queta0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011644%-0.013-0.072100%0.00
Xavier Tillman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.327.314.732.31.833.2138.0
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +53.7%
MIL -12.8%
BOS +6.8%
BOS +7.3%
MIL -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILBOSNBAMILBOSNBA
this game13.314.514.3105.9113.3111.9
season14.715.0112.1118.8
opponent14.014.2109.7110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.113.215.013.213.3
BOS13.614.513.416.814.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brook Lopez69720.15-0.650.810.131-161713.513.20.2914.314.8-0.43
Tyler Smith66-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-151911.313.4-2.0915.214.50.70
Andre Jackson Jr.1313-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-151511.013.8-2.8115.714.31.41
Pat Connaughton3233-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-131113.513.40.0614.914.30.62
Delon Wright2221-0.19-0.310.12-0.05-5-10510.614.3-3.6215.114.30.80
Taurean Prince6669-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-8113.712.90.7714.813.61.24
Damian Lillard7478-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.01-10-5-514.310.63.6214.315.1-0.80
Bobby Portis4041-0.520.02-0.54-0.17-12-3-913.813.20.6014.714.30.46
Gary Trent Jr.8183-0.550.05-0.600.07-216-2713.612.51.1413.817.9-4.14
Giannis Antetokounmpo8385-0.640.14-0.77-0.08-194-2313.214.9-1.7314.414.6-0.21

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Payton Pritchard56550.50-0.000.510.15124815.512.92.6213.912.71.22
Jayson Tatum80780.470.030.44-0.0618-22014.214.8-0.5413.214.2-1.00
Jordan Walsh23250.450.050.400.011511415.714.01.6812.313.8-1.45
Xavier Tillman32310.340.160.180.05106413.714.7-0.9714.313.01.29
Derrick White77740.330.170.160.04106413.716.4-2.6612.914.8-1.92
Jaylen Brown84810.210.29-0.07-0.0288014.215.2-1.0613.811.81.92
Jrue Holiday72690.120.38-0.26-0.06610-414.713.61.0213.712.80.87
Al Horford61590.090.41-0.32-0.09610-414.314.4-0.0612.814.2-1.42
Jaden Springer110.000.50-0.500.00016-167.014.4-7.4310.013.4-3.44
Drew Peterson110.000.50-0.500.00016-167.014.4-7.4310.013.4-3.44
Neemias Queta110.000.50-0.500.00016-167.014.4-7.4310.013.4-3.44
Luke Kornet2220-0.020.52-0.530.13-521-2614.514.30.1314.413.21.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 94, BOS 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.97,1,194.0%
NOH 84, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%
DEN 114, SAC 1190.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,193.7%