NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	6.1 [110]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +8.5%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.3 [93]		LVP	Jamal Shead (TOR): -12.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	53%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Adem Bona	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.10	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.11	-0.01	0.10	5	93%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.11	-0.03	0.09	17	67%	0.08	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	23	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.05
Andre Drummond	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	11	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	11	77%	0.20	4	-0.11	13	85%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.03	11	82%	0.02
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	5	86%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
D.J. Carton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.5	2.7	34.5	14.0	36.2	1.7	43.3	166.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.4%

TOR +9.4%

TOR +28.1%

PHI -17.6%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.4	103.9	111.7	112.0
season	15.2	14.0		104.4	110.7
opponent	14.7	14.2		116.5	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	15.3	13.9	12.4	14.1
TOR	13.4	10.8	16.7	14.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adem Bona	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	13.0	14.6	-1.59	8.0	14.4	-6.39
Eric Gordon	43	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-14	19	14.5	14.5	-0.01	14.3	14.2	0.05
Reggie Jackson	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-6	3	16.1	14.4	1.72	10.4	14.6	-4.23
Ricky Council IV	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	10.6	14.9	-4.26	20.6	13.7	6.94
Guerschon Yabusele	37	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-14	19	13.3	15.3	-1.95	15.7	13.5	2.19
Caleb Martin	66	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-10	11	14.9	13.8	1.08	15.1	12.4	2.75
KJ Martin	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-5	1	14.4	14.7	-0.33	13.7	14.8	-1.01
Jared McCain	11	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	13.7	14.6	-0.92	7.2	15.1	-7.87
Tyrese Maxey	81	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	14.4	15.1	-0.63	15.0	10.8	4.24
Andre Drummond	47	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	6	-21	15.6	13.5	2.07	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Kelly Oubre Jr.	78	80	-0.47	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	2	-13	14.7	13.8	0.93	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Kyle Lowry	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	4	-17	14.6	14.4	0.24	14.1	14.5	-0.40

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Mogbo	51	51	0.59	-0.10	0.68	-0.03	21	-11	32	12.6	15.3	-2.71	15.0	14.2	0.73
D.J. Carton	28	27	0.49	0.00	0.49	-0.07	19	-9	28	12.5	14.4	-1.91	15.2	14.4	0.84
Jakob Poeltl	50	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	1	8	13.0	14.7	-1.77	15.3	13.8	1.45
Davion Mitchell	42	43	0.30	0.19	0.10	0.15	5	5	0	12.2	15.1	-2.92	14.9	14.4	0.44
Scottie Barnes	69	71	0.27	0.22	0.05	0.24	1	9	-8	14.5	12.0	2.46	14.1	16.2	-2.18
Ochai Agbaji	50	48	0.24	0.25	-0.01	0.15	3	7	-4	13.5	14.2	-0.66	14.9	14.3	0.60
Chris Boucher	39	40	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.03	5	5	0	14.6	13.2	1.42	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Gradey Dick	52	52	0.17	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	13.4	14.3	-0.91	14.9	14.3	0.54
Jamison Battle	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	4	0	15.7	13.1	2.61	14.8	13.9	0.95
Jamal Shead	45	46	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.23	-12	22	-34	15.6	12.2	3.35	13.7	15.5	-1.88
Bruno Fernando	16	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	19	-28	16.1	13.3	2.79	13.3	14.9	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHH 96, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAL 80, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%