NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	5.4 [264]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +19.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	1.2 [232]		LVP	Mike Conley (MIN): -13.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.02	8	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	25	51%	0.05	4	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	10	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.03
Jaden McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	0.01	23	59%	0.22	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.03
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	14	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	41%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	16	48%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bronny James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	27.5	15.8	33.5	3.4	35.2	145.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +17.5%

LAL +7.1%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +20.4%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	14.3	109.6	113.4	111.8
season	14.8	14.8		110.0	111.2
opponent	14.1	14.5		114.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	14.4	13.9	16.0	14.8
LAL	16.3	15.0	13.8	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	52	53	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-20	31	14.2	15.7	-1.52	17.1	13.5	3.55
Joe Ingles	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-10	11	13.4	15.1	-1.71	15.6	15.5	0.08
Jaden McDaniels	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-1	-7	16.1	14.3	1.83	15.7	15.4	0.30
Julius Randle	66	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-9	9	15.3	13.9	1.40	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Naz Reid	51	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.09	15.6	15.4	0.16
Anthony Edwards	82	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-7	5	14.5	17.5	-2.92	15.0	19.3	-4.38
Rudy Gobert	69	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	1	-11	14.5	15.9	-1.39	15.5	15.5	0.06
Donte DiVincenzo	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	14.7	15.2	-0.56	15.6	15.2	0.40
Mike Conley	41	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	13	-35	16.3	13.7	2.57	14.2	16.5	-2.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	65	64	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.02	24	-12	36	15.2	15.4	-0.21	15.9	13.1	2.80
Austin Reaves	67	66	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-5	22	14.9	16.4	-1.46	15.3	14.4	0.88
D'Angelo Russell	63	61	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.01	20	-8	28	14.8	16.4	-1.64	16.1	12.9	3.26
Anthony Davis	73	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	6	0	14.7	17.7	-3.08	14.5	17.4	-2.87
Dalton Knecht	35	32	0.19	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	5	2	15.0	15.5	-0.52	14.3	15.5	-1.26
LeBron James	65	61	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	13	-14	15.4	14.9	0.52	15.5	14.3	1.17
Jaxson Hayes	30	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	13	-14	16.3	14.8	1.44	15.6	14.9	0.75
Gabe Vincent	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	14	-16	15.3	15.3	0.03	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Bronny James	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	12	-17	20.3	15.0	5.30	9.4	15.1	-5.69
Max Christie	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	17	-22	17.7	14.6	3.14	12.6	15.9	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.67,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.6%
BOS 89, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%