NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	4.5 [914]		MVP	Wesley Person (POR): +15.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.3 [1010]		LVP	Vladimir Stepania (POR): -7.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	21	48%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	22	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	17	62%	0.03	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	12	77%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	12	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	20	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	3.5	32.4	17.6	23.0	3.8	38.5	142.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.6%

POR +10.9%

POR +13.1%

MIN -1.6%

POR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	18.0	15.7	104.5	114.8	100.5
season	15.6	17.1		103.2	101.5
opponent	15.7	16.1		103.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	15.8	14.3	14.1	14.7
POR	20.6	14.9	20.0	17.2	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-6	3	15.2	14.6	0.58	16.4	18.3	-1.88
Latrell Sprewell	75	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-13	17	14.1	18.3	-4.21	18.6	14.8	3.80
Ervin Johnson	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.02	-3	-6	3	15.2	14.5	0.68	20.3	16.9	3.38
Trenton Hassell	59	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	15.2	13.7	1.53	18.9	16.2	2.74
Mark Madsen	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	13.3	15.1	-1.76	14.3	19.0	-4.69
Oliver Miller	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	15.0	14.5	0.50	18.0	18.0	0.07
Gary Trent	14	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	3	-15	14.7	14.7	-0.00	15.5	18.4	-2.90
Kevin Garnett	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-6	3	14.7	14.6	0.18	18.3	15.9	2.36
Sam Cassell	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-3	-3	14.6	15.2	-0.58	18.3	16.4	1.88
Fred Hoiberg	37	38	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.13	-18	9	-27	15.1	14.4	0.72	15.8	19.7	-3.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	50	49	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.08	21	-12	33	16.0	20.7	-4.66	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Vladimir Stepania	29	28	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-4	17	17.8	18.1	-0.27	15.8	14.2	1.62
Jeff McInnis	75	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	18.4	15.7	2.72	15.2	11.0	4.25
Ruben Patterson	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	16.6	20.0	-3.38	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Rasheed Wallace	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	0	9	17.7	18.9	-1.11	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Zach Randolph	67	69	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	13	-17	18.8	15.5	3.27	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Dale Davis	50	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	8	-7	18.9	16.9	2.01	14.9	14.4	0.47
Qyntel Woods	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	9	-9	0.0	18.2	-18.22	8.0	14.8	-6.79
Damon Stoudamire	50	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	15	-21	19.8	15.7	4.10	14.0	15.7	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.9%
UTA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.9%
HOU 98, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.6%