NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	4.7 [278]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +20.2%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.8 [106]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -19.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	19	72%	0.18	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	17	63%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ty Jerome	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	7	47%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	23	26%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.01	-0.01	12	79%	0.21	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	14	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.07	8	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.04	0.03	12	72%	0.16	7	-0.15	5	100%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bufkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	10	32%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	31.3	14.8	27.5	2.3	30.5	132.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.1%

CLE -0.3%

ATL +11.1%

CLE -13.5%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.3	98.1	113.6	111.9
season	13.7	13.2		120.1	110.2
opponent	14.3	14.7		113.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	16.8	14.3	10.1	13.7
ATL	13.0	12.6	14.0	17.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Porter Jr.	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	9.0	14.0	-5.04	16.0	14.1	1.88
Jaylon Tyson	27	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-14	12	13.0	14.0	-1.06	13.0	14.6	-1.55
Sam Merrill	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-10	4	12.4	14.8	-2.35	14.3	14.1	0.23
Ty Jerome	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-8	0	13.4	13.9	-0.47	15.9	13.3	2.58
Caris LeVert	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-6	-4	14.3	13.4	0.86	14.6	14.0	0.62
Georges Niang	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-8	0	12.0	15.0	-2.99	17.3	12.1	5.15
Darius Garland	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-12	8	13.9	13.4	0.52	13.6	15.6	-2.00
Evan Mobley	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-10	4	14.1	12.5	1.62	13.7	15.8	-2.08
Jarrett Allen	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-7	-2	14.7	12.6	2.10	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Isaac Okoro	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-4	-8	15.3	12.7	2.62	12.5	15.4	-2.87
Donovan Mitchell	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-3	-10	13.9	13.3	0.66	14.1	14.6	-0.49

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	56	56	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	1	14	13.8	14.7	-0.94	14.4	12.9	1.49
Jalen Johnson	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-1	18	13.5	16.3	-2.75	14.2	12.4	1.82
Trae Young	73	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	6	4	14.2	14.3	-0.07	14.3	12.5	1.81
Dyson Daniels	73	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	6	4	14.2	14.3	-0.07	14.3	12.5	1.81
Bogdan Bogdanovic	51	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	6	4	14.6	13.9	0.70	13.1	14.4	-1.28
Zaccharie Risacher	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	15	-14	14.3	14.2	0.09	13.2	14.2	-0.92
De'Andre Hunter	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.18	14	2	12	14.3	14.0	0.29	14.1	13.3	0.74
Kobe Bufkin	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	10	-4	14.3	14.2	0.07	12.5	14.3	-1.81
Garrison Mathews	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	21.0	14.1	6.92	4.5	13.9	-9.43
Vit Krejci	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	21.0	14.1	6.92	4.5	13.9	-9.43
David Roddy	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	21.0	14.1	6.92	4.5	13.9	-9.43
Onyeka Okongwu	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.14	3	13	-10	14.4	14.0	0.41	13.3	14.1	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.51,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 118, GSW 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 97, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ATL 79, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%